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Home loan activity continued to rise over January following the recovery surge in post-lockdown activity recorded over the final months of 2021. Clearly Covid restrictions and uncertainties have failed to dampen demand for housing with lending still tracking at record levels. The ABS reports that the value of home loans seasonally adjusted (excluding land and…

Wages growth has predictably increased over the December quarter as the national labour market recovered from the impact of severe mid-year covid restrictions. The ABS national Wage Index seasonally adjusted rose by 0.7% over the December quarter for an annual growth rate of 2.3%. This was marginally higher than the September quarter increase of 0.6%…

January labour market data was stronger than expected despite the disruptions caused by the Omicron variant. Employment rose +13,000, unemployment was unchanged at 4.2%, and the participation rate rose to 66.2% (from 66.1%). However, instead of impacting the unemployment rate, the impact from the Omicron variant was concentrated in hours worked, which fell 8.8% month…

What’s ahead for interest rates? The Reserve Bank Board meets next week on February 1 and the Governor will be addressing the National Press Club on February 2 and the Bank will release its February Statement on Monetary Policy on February 4. And the media and most investors are waiting with bated breath to hear…

What’s the real unemployment rate in Australia? We know the official unemployment rate is close to 4%. We also know that the Australian Bureau of Statistics count people working an hour or so a week as employed. That doesn’t make a lot of sense to me so I am always interested in Roy Morgan’s unemployment…

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