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By Louis Christopher
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Winter Lull Sees Slight Rise in Rental Vacancies | SQM Research

key takeaways

Key takeaways

National combined rents declined modestly to $645.44, while annual gains remained steady at 3.3%.

Australia’s rental market posted a slight uplift in vacancy rates in June 2025, rising nationally from 1.2% to 1.3%.

Australia’s rental market continues to display nuanced dynamics, with capital cities diverging in performance over the past week.

According to SQM Research’s Weekly Rents Index, national combined rents declined modestly to $645.44, while annual gains held firm at 3.3%.

The standout performer was Darwin, where combined rents jumped over 1.0% week-on-week and soared nearly 14% year-on-year, highlighting pressure in smaller housing markets.

City-Specific Insights

Sydney

  • Combined rent: $852.19 (↓ $0.75)
  • Rolling month: -0.3%; annual: +1.8%
  • Market softening slightly amid seasonal turnover; unit rents up, houses

Melbourne

  • Combined rent: $654.27 (↓ $0.17)
  • Rolling month: +0.6%; annual: +2.8%
  • Houses remain resilient, overall growth

Brisbane

  • Combined rent: $689.01 (↓ $0.49)
  • Rolling month: +0.7%; annual: +3.8%
  • Units and houses gaining traction; solid growth

Perth

  • Combined rent: $758.63 (↑ $2.36)
  • Rolling month: +0.1%; annual: +5.7%
  • Houses surged $5.44; competition intensifies in outer metro

Adelaide

  • Combined rent: $622.82 (↓ $0.03)
  • Rolling month: +1.7%; annual: +4.5%
  • Units driving momentum; affordability keeping demand

Canberra

  • Combined rent: $676.29 (↑ $1.15)
  • Rolling month: +0.1%; annual: +3.6%
  • Unit rents rebound, balancing softer house

Darwin

  • Combined rent: $639.77 (↑ $7.02)
  • Rolling month: +1.0%; annual: +13.9%
  • Houses rose over $21; lowest vacancy rate nationally fueling sharp

Hobart

  • Combined rent: $542.69 (↓ $1.24)
  • Rolling month: -0.5%; annual: +6.5%
  • Units climbing while houses cool; winter lull

Sydney

Property Type Rent ($) Weekly change Monthly change  12 Months change
All Houses $1,071.28 -2.28 -0.3% 3.0%
All Units $702.71 0.29 -0.4% 0.6%
Combined $852.19 -0.75 -0.3% 1.8%

Source: SQM Research

Melbourne

Property Type Rent ($) Weekly change Monthly change  12 Months change
All Houses $764.74 0.26 0.6% 2.7%
All Units $575.48 -0.48 0.5% 2.7%
Combined $654.27 -0.17 0.6% 2.8%

Source: SQM Research

Brisbane

Property Type Rent ($) Weekly change Monthly change 12 Months change
All Houses $761.22 -0.22 1.0% 3.4%
All Units $600.83 -0.83 0.3% 4.4%
Combined $689.01 -0.49 0.7% 3.8%

Source: SQM Research

Perth

Property Type Rent ($) Weekly change Monthly change 12 Months  change
All Houses $830.56 5.44 -0.1% 5.7%
All Units $656.99 -1.99 0.3% 5.4%
Combined $758.63 2.36 0.1% 5.7%

Source: SQM Research

Adelaide

Property Type Rent $) Weekly change Monthly change 12 Months change
All Houses $671.80 -0.80 2.3% 3.2%
All Units $527.52 1.48 0.4% 7.3%
Combined $622.82 -0.03 1.7% 4.5%

Source: SQM Research

Canberra

Property Type Rent ($) Weekly change Monthly change 12 Months change
All Houses $782.49 -4.49 -0.3% 2.5%
All Units $588.17 5.83 0.6% 5.2%
Combined $676.29 1.15 0.1% 3.6%

Source: SQM Research

Darwin

Property Type Rent ($) Weekly change Monthly change 12 Months change
All Houses $771.46 21.54 2.8% 12.4%
All Units $548.99 -2.99 -0.7% 15.2%
Combined $639.77 7.02 1.0% 13.9%

Source: SQM Research

Hobart

Property Type Rent 9$) Weekly change Monthly change 12 Months change
All Houses $571.45 -2.45 -1.2% 6.6%
All Units $499.43 0.57 0.7% 6.2%
Combined $542.69 -1.24 -0.5% 6.5%

Source: SQM Research

National

Property Type Rent ($) Weekly change Monthly change 12 Months change
All Houses $715.00 -9.00 -1.0% 2.9%
All Units $565.00 3.00 0.0% 3.9%
Combined $645.44 -3.44 -0.6% 3.3%

Source: SQM Research

Cap City Average

Property Type Rent ($) Weekly change Monthly change 12 Months change
All Houses $863.00 0.00 0.3% 3.7%
All Units $640.00 0.00 -0.2% 2.6%
Combined $744.40 0.00 0.1% 3.2%

Source: SQM Research

Vacancy Rates - June 2025

City Jun 2024 Vacancies Jun 2024 Vacancy Rate May 2025 Vacancies May 2025 Vacancy Rate Jun 2025 Vacancies Jun 2025 Vacancy Rate
Sydney 12,143 1.7% 10,808 1.5% 11,482 1.6%
Melbourne 7,864 1.5% 9,074 1.7% 9,414 1.8%
Brisbane 3,962 1.1% 3,064 0.9% 3,147 0.9%
Perth 1,510 0.8% 1,416 0.7% 1,457 0.8%
Adelaide 1,180 0.7% 1,240 0.8% 1,268 0.8%
Canberra 1,265 2.1% 891 1.5% 920 1.5%
Darwin 223 0.9% 129 0.5% 115 0.5%
Hobart 425 1.5% 177 0.6% 175 0.6%
National 40,486 1.3% 37,879 1.2% 39,027 1.3%

Source: SQM Research

According to SQM Research, Australia’s rental market posted a slight uplift in vacancy rates in June 2025, rising nationally from 1.2% to 1.3%.

While the monthly increase may suggest early signs of stabilisation, many capital cities continue to grapple with persistent undersupply, keeping rental conditions firmly in favour of landlords.

Key Vacancy Rate Findings:

Despite small monthly rises, vacancy rates across most capitals continue to signal demand-driven pressure.

Landlords in tighter markets may retain pricing power, while renters in cities like Melbourne and Canberra could see gradual shifts toward balance.

  • Sydney: 5%, up 0.1% year-on-year, stable since April 2025.
  • Melbourne’s vacancy rate continues to climb, reaching 1.8% — indicative of easing demand or new supply entering the market.
  • Sydney’s modest uplift to 6% hints at seasonal fluctuations rather than a market shift.
  • Brisbane, Perth, Adelaide, Darwin and Hobart all maintain sub-1% rates, reinforcing ongoing pressure on tenants.
  • Canberra has stabilised after a sharp year-on-year decline, possibly reflecting renewed leasing activity or moderate supply increases.

Commentary

The marginal increase in vacancies nationally should not be interpreted as a market turnaround.

Most regions still show signs of stress, and the recent spike in dwelling approvals needs to translate into physical supply before rental conditions meaningfully improve.

June's figures suggest the beginning of a seasonal rebalancing in some regions.

However, we are far from a renter’s market, especially in cities like Darwin and Hobart where vacancy rates are critically low.

 

Ahmad Imam Square Wide Lo Rez 400.jpglouis Christopher
About Louis Christopher Louis is recognised as one of Australia’s most respected and impartial research property analyst. He has extensive knowledge and experience of property and is regularly quoted in the media on his insights and is director of SQM Research.
Visit www.SQMResearch.com.au
11 comments

"Winter Lull Sees Slight Rise in Rental Vacancies" Slight?????? How about DEAD! As a landlord of 40 years Ive never seen the rental market so quiet. The stream transient renters on working holiday visas tat we witnessed in the summer of 2023 has l ...Read full version

1 reply

Should Brisbane be 0.9% not 9%?

1 reply

Perth vacancy rate Jan 2025 was confirmed to be 2% by REIWA. Not sure where you're getting 0.4% Louis?

1 reply
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