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- Here’s what’s been happening to Australian house prices over the last year…
- Is a second Australian recession now a ‘genuine risk?
- What’s ahead for our property markets?
- What’s ahead for our economy?
- Here are 8 reasons to feel positive about our economic future
- What about house prices?
- Australian house price forecasts
- Sydney House Price Forecast
- Melbourne House Price Forecast
- Brisbane House Price Forecast
- Canberra House Price Forecasts
- Perth House Price Forecast
- Adelaide House Price Forecast
What’s the outlook for the Australian property markets for the rest of 2021 and beyond?
This is a common question people are asking now that our real estate markets are experiencing the challenges of lockdowns.
However, despite a sequence of fifteen State or Territory lockdowns so far this year, property prices have been largely unscathed.
And even though the rate of house price growth is slowing, property values keep rising in almost every market around the country and our capital cities are in line for strong double digit property price growth this year.
Over the past year, Sydney house prices have risen almost 20%, Melbourne 11.8% and Brisbane 18.6%.
But the momentum in growth is showing signs of easing, since peaking in March.
At the same time vendors are now holding back putting their properties on the market for sale due to the uncertainty of the effects of our lockdowns.
But while our Covid cocoons are slowing down our markets, the eventual easing in restrictions should see activity rebound swiftly and price growth lifts again into year-end.
Recently ANZ has updated its property price forecasts in response to the market’s resilience in the face of extended lockdowns.
It joins Australia’s other major banks in predicting house prices will jump 20% by the end of the year as a stronger than expected property market rides out extended lockdowns across Victoria and NSW.
These higher forecasts are reflective of the market’s adjustment to lockdowns this time around, as buyers have overcome concerns around remote auctions and expats have increasingly joined investors adding to property demand.
The new figure is higher than earlier forecasted gains of between 15% and 20%, with the bank also projecting price growth would slow to 7% growth in 2022.
What a turnaround from all the pessimistic forecasts all the banks made in the middle of last year.
ANZ joins Australia’s big four banks in revising its forecasts upwards amid lockdowns, with its updated projections similar to those put out by the Commonwealth Bank earlier this month.
NAB in July suggested house prices would jump 18.5% in 2021 and 3.6% next year across capital cities, while Westpac forecast a jump of 18% this year and 5% next.
Here’s what’s been happening to Australian house prices over the last year…
Source: CoreLogic September 20th 2021
Is a second Australian recession now a ‘genuine risk?
Given the heightened level of uncertainty from recent COVID outbreaks and subsequent lockdowns, the media is full of negative news, suggesting we may fall into a second recession, a double-dip recession, and the RBA has acknowledged Australia’s economy is likely to move into reverse through September quarter, along with an increase in unemployment.
The economic cost of the lockdowns is expected to surge past $20 billion if Greater Sydney’s stay-at-home orders are extended beyond August, further deepening the September-quarter economic contraction
The RBA is expecting the disruption to Australia’s economic activity and labour markets to be a temporary phenomenon, noting the experience to date has been that economic conditions bounce back quickly once the outbreaks are contained and restrictions are lifted.
Clearly, the RBA believes the Australian economy had enough momentum heading into the most recent outbreaks that growth conditions will return once lockdowns are lifted
And despite all the challenges, our housing markets just keep bounding along…
Source: Corelogic 20th, 2021
What’s ahead for our property markets?
Let’s have a look at 6 property trends that I think will occur in 2021.
- Property demand from home buyers is going to continue to be strong
Currently, home prices are surging around Australia, auction clearance rates remain high, and the media keeps reminding us we’re in a property boom.
The result is emotions are running high at the moment, with FOMO (fear of missing out) being a common theme around Australia’s property markets.
One of the leading indicators I watch carefully is finance housing approvals, and these are suggesting that more Aussies are looking at getting into property and we will have strong ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors over the next 6 months.
Now, with borrowing costs lower than they ever have been, the reassurance that interest rates won’t rise for a number of years, it is likely that buyer demand will remain strong throughout the year.
In fact, this is a self-fulfilling prophecy…
As property values increase and the media reports more positively about our property markets, FOMO will mean more buyers will be keen to get in the market before it prices them out.
2. Investors will squeeze out first home buyers
While there were many first-time buyers (FHB’s) in the market in the first half of the year, buoyed by the many incentives being offered to them, now demand from FHB’s is fading and property investors re-enter the market and property values rise.
Of course over the last few years, investor lending has been low, but with historically low-interest rates and easing lending restrictions, investors are back with a vengeance.
3. Property Prices will continue to rise
While many factors affect property values, the main drivers of property price growth are consumer confidence, low-interest rates, economic growth and a favourable supply and demand ratio.
As always, there are multiple real estate markets around Australia, but in general property values should increase strongly throughout 2021.
However certain segments of the market will still continue to suffer, in particular in the city apartment towers and accommodation around universities.
It is unlikely these segments of the market will pick up for some time and the value of these apartments is likely to continue to fall as there just won’t be buyers for secondary properties.
At the same time, some rental market will remain challenging. In particular, the inner-city apartment markets are reliant on students, tourists (AirBNB) and overseas arrivals.
But overall, Australia’s low mortgage rates continue to underpin very strong growth in property prices throughout the country.
House prices will rise further
Ongoing strength in housing finance, elevated auction clearance rates, and continued low stock levels suggest housing prices will continue to rise solidly through 2021.
4. People will pay a premium to be in the right neighbourhood
If Coronavirus taught us anything, it was the importance of living in the right type of property in the right neighbourhood.
In our new “Covid Normal” world, people will pay a premium for the ability to work, live and play within a 20-minute drive, bike ride or walk from home.
They will look for things such as shopping, business services, education, community facilities, recreational and sporting resources, and some jobs all within 20 minutes reach.
Residents of these neighbourhoods have now come to appreciate the ability to be out and about on the street socialising, supporting local businesses, being involved with local schools, enjoying local parks.
5. More expensive properties will outperform
The current property cycle was initially characterised by all segments of the market rising – other than inner-city high-rise apartments.
But now the high end of the market is leading the growth in property values
According to Corelogic, the high tier is the top 25% of property values in any given region.
As of February, this refers to dwelling values at around $960,000 or higher for the combined capitals, with a typical value in the high tier around $1.2 million.
Over February, the top 25% of values in the combined capital cities jumped 2.7% in value. This was up from an increase of 0.5% in January.
The middle 50% of dwelling values (the mid-tier) increased 1.5%, and the ‘low’ end of property values (the low tier) increased 1.2%.
6. This is a cycle dominated by upgraders
The current property and economic environment, plus the scars left on many of us after a year of Covid related lockdowns have meant that Aussies are looking to upgrade their lifestyle.
- Many tenants are no longer happy to live in small dingy apartments and with an oversupply of rental units available in many areas, they are taking the opportunity to upgrade their accommodation.
- Other tenants who have managed to save a deposit are taking advantage of many of the many incentives available and are becoming first home buyers.
- With record low-interest rates and surging property markets, many existing homeowners or upgrading their accommodation to larger homes in better neighbourhoods. In fact, a recent survey suggested that one in three homeowners are looking to sell their home in the next five years.
- While small group homeowners are upgrading their lifestyle and moving out of the big smoke to regional Australia, more Aussies are looking to upgrade their lifestyle by moving to a better neighbourhood. As mentioned above, they love the thought that most of the things needed for a good life are just around the corner.
- Many Baby Boomers are looking to upgrade their accommodation by moving out of their old, tired family home into large family-friendly apartments or townhouses. But they’re not looking for a sea change or tree change, they’re keen to live in “20-minute” neighbourhoods close to their family and friends.
What’s ahead for our economy?
The Australian economy had rebounded solidly out of the COVID-19 pandemic, due largely to significant monetary and fiscal stimulus and looks set for continued strong growth in 2021.
Here are 8 reasons to feel positive about our economic future
- The Reserve Bank Governor has committed to leaving the cash rate at 0.1 per cent till 2024. Bond purchases are being employed with the hope of reducing longer-term yields.
2. Underlying inflation is expected to broadly hold near 1-1.5 per cent over 2021.
3. Unemployment is the focal point of all monetary and fiscal policy actions.
And despite the concerns of what could happen to unemployment with the removal of job keeper, Australia’s unemployment rate keeps falling and has now hit 5.5%
While Australia’s recession is now over, the economic road back to recovery will take years.
There will continue to be some hiccups with virus case numbers in Australia, but as we move our way through 2021 we’re doing so with plenty of optimism.
4. The Westpac consumer sentiment index is at decade highs while business confidence is at 31-month highs.
Compared to prior downturns, the recovery in consumer sentiment is the sharpest seen in the history of the series and reminds us of the unusual nature of this shock and the extensive government support provided to households and businesses.
5. The success in suppressing the virus has enabled our states and territories to ‘re-open’ their economies.
6. Governments, the Reserve Bank, commercial banks, and regulators have provided all the necessary support and stimulus to ensure as many businesses as possible to stay in business and workers hold onto jobs.
7. Borrowing costs for businesses, households, and governments are at ‘rock bottom’.
8. The additional boost to confidence and future prospects comes from the prospect of a vaccine.
Risks to to our economy include further waves of virus cases; setbacks with vaccines; policy mistakes on the removal of support measures; and an extended delay in the re-opening of foreign borders.
Compared to prior downturns, the recovery in consumer sentiment is the sharpest seen in the history of the series and reminds us of the unusual nature of this shock and the extensive government support provided to households and businesses.
The major banks regularly report their internal data on credit card spending and consumer activity which has lifted strongly over the last few months in part due to the opening up of Victoria but consumer spending is also strong in other states.
Going forward, consumer spending faces headwinds from elevated unemployment, weak wages growth, tapering income support, and weak population growth.
The government recognises that consumer spending is a key driver of economic activity and that’s one of the reasons it is so keen to reduce unemployment and support our economy.
Property markets are booming
When Australians feel comfortable and confident about the value of their homes, their castle, they experience a wealth effect that encourages them to spend more.
The Stock Market is Rallying
Rising stock prices are important for several reasons – they show investors are confident in the earnings and profits of the business sector and they boost the wealth of shareholders which underpins confidence and spending.
A vaccine rollout is happening and boosting confidence
What about house prices?
Interestingly all the bank economists agree that it is likely that all our capital cities will experience strong house price growth over the next couple of years with house prices rising 20% to 30% over this property cycle.
Of course, there isn’t one Australian property market, or one Melbourne or Sydney property market so certain segments of the market will outperform.
In particular, the more affluent suburbs of our capital cities where residents have higher wages growth and more cash stashed away from the Covid pandemic are likely to outperform.
Of course, at times like this, forecasting median house values are of little value.
Instead, one needs to get more granular to really understand what is really going on.
Each state is divided into multiple markets, by geography, price point and type of accommodation.
And then there are apartments – either high-rise or medium-density – townhouses, villa units, and houses.
There are also new and establish property markets.
And each of these market segments behaves differently.
Currently, most of the property sales occurring are in the lowest price points with few discretionary sellers in the more established suburbs and higher bracket suburbs.
This means that the palette of properties currently being sold is generally in the lower price bracket and this alone will bring down reported median home values.
But this doesn’t accurately reflect the value of particular properties in any specific market, but more of the types of properties being sold.
We regularly report buyer demand as being shown by realestate.com.au’s Weekly Search Report and as you can see from the chart below, buyer demand is considerably higher than a year ago, even though this chart shows how enquiries have slowed down and we’ve moved from a “white-hot market” to a “red hot” market.
Moving forward some areas will strongly outperform others
Offices were shut, lockdowns were in place, and moving forward people are likely to continue working at home more than ever.
This means gone are the days where our ‘home’ was simply the place we rest our heads and enjoy some downtime between work and our social lives – the coronavirus social distancing has put an end to life as we once knew it.
If social distancing and the Covid-19 environment have taught us anything, it has taught us the importance of the neighbourhood we live in.
If you can leave your home and be within walking distance of, or a short trip to, a great shopping strip, your favourite coffee shop, amenities, the beach, a great park, the recently implemented coronavirus restrictions might seem a little more palatable than if you had none of that on your doorstep.
That’s why choosing the right neighbourhood is important for property investors?
In short, it’s all to do with capital growth, and we all know capital growth is critical for investment success, or just to create more stored wealth in the value of your home.
Sure there is always the opportunity to add value through renovating your property or making a quick buck when buying well.
But these are one off’s and won’t make a long-term difference if your property is not in the right location because you can’t change its location.
This is key because we know that 80% of a property’s performance is dependent on the location and its neighbourhood.
In fact, some locations have even outperformed others by 50-100% over the past decade.
And it’s likely that moving forward, thanks to the current environment, people will place a greater emphasis on neighbourhood and inner and middle-ring suburbs where more affluent occupants and tenants will be living.
These ‘liveable’ neighbourhoods with close amenities are where capital growth will outperform.
How do we identify these locations?
What makes some locations more desirable than others?
A lot has to do with the demographics – locations that are gentrifying and also locations that are lifestyle locations and destination locations that aspirational and affluent people want to live in will outperform.
It’s well known that the rich do not like to travel and they are prepared to and can afford to pay for the privilege of living in lifestyle suburbs and locations with a high walk score– meaning they have easy access to everything they need.
So lifestyle and destination suburbs where there is a wide range of amenities with 20 minutes walk or drive are likely to outperform in the future.
At the same time, many of these suburbs will be undergoing gentrification – these will be suburbs where incomes are growing, which therefore increase people’s ability to afford, and pay higher prices, for property.
A good neighbourhood means different things to different people, but there are some key factors that help to determine which locations have the potential to grow in value faster in the future.
Generally, a good neighbourhood is determined by the physical location, suburb character, and its close proximity to amenities such as a shopping strip, park, coffee shops, education, and even some jobs.
It’s obvious then that in our new ‘Covid’ world, people will want to be in a location where everything they need is in short 20-minute proximity – whether that is on public transport, bike ride or walks – to their home.
In planning circles, this concept is known as the ‘20-minute neighbourhood’.
Many inner suburbs of Australia’s capital cities and parts of their middle suburbs already meet the 20-minute neighbourhood tests, but very few outer suburbs do because there is a lower developmental density, less diversity in its community, and less access to public transport.
Supply and demand
Rising property prices are the result of two basic economic concepts: “Supply and Demand” and “Inflation”.
However, there is a sub-component of Demand, called “Capacity-to-Pay”, which is often overlooked.
Understanding how these concepts work together to affect real estate is crucial to one’s belief or doubt about whether real estate values will rise.
In a free-market economy, prices of any commodity will tend to drop when supply is high and demand is low.
In other words, when there is more than enough of something, it is said to be a “buyer’s market” because sellers must compete, typically by lowering the price, to attract a buyer.
Conversely, when supply is low and demand is high, prices will tend to rise as buyers bid up pricing to compete for the limited supply. This is called a “seller’s market”.
Let’s look at it this way….
- With regard to supply…. they aren’t making any more real estate in the most desirable areas and by this, I’m talking about the dirt, not the buildings.
- With regards to demand, Australia has a business plan to increase of population to 40,000,000 people in the next 30 years.
For the last few decades, continued strong population growth has been a key driver supporting our property markets.
Australia’s population was growing by around 360,000 people per annum, meaning we needed to build around 170 to 180,000 new dwellings each year to accommodate all the new households.
Since 60% of our growth is dependent on immigration, in the short-term population growth will fall, but they should increase again as soon as overseas immigrants will be allowed to come to our shores.
However, more and more ex-pats are returning to Australia.
Source: Corelogic September 20th, 2021
What about affordability?
With interest rates at historic lows, housing affordability is as cheap as it ever has been.
I’m not saying the properties are cheap – they never have been if you want to live in great locations in major world-class cities.
But for those first home buyers wanting to get a foot on the property ladder, or established home buyers wanting to upgrade, or investors looking to hold onto a property, the holding costs are less than they ever have been.
And the RBA has declared that the interest rate will not increase until unemployment is back to within its preferred range of around 4.5%.
They have said this will be unlikely to occur in the next three years.
In other words, we are in unprecedented times where we don’t have to worry about rising interest rates in the foreseeable future
Of course, rising property prices are an increasing issue for First Home Buyers who are not bringing a “trade-in” to the market.
As opposed to an established homebuyer who has a “trade-in” that is increasing in value, if first home buyers wait to get into the market they’re finding the market moving faster than they can save, so they’re hopping on board the property train as quickly as they can.
First home buyer affordability has declined for the second consecutive quarter according to Dr. Andrew Wilson, reinforcing the latest ABS data that revealed first home buyer numbers – although still strong – have fallen over recent months.
Australian house price forecasts
In the medium term, property values will be linked to the extent that our economic recovery affects income, employment, borrowing capacity, and credit availability.
However, I’m comfortable with the underlying long-term fundamentals supporting our property markets in the medium to long term.
Let’s look at a couple of them…
- Population growth
As I said, in the short-term population growth will fall, but this should increase again as soon as overseas immigrants will be allowed to come to our shores.
Australia is likely to be seen as one of the safe haven’s in the world moving forward.
- Declining housing supply
The oversupply of dwellings in many Australian locations is now dwindling and there are very few new large projects on the drawing board.
Considering how long it takes to build new estates or large apartment complexes, we’re going to experience an undersupply of well-located properties in our capital cities in the next year or two.
- Interest rates are low
The prevailing low-interest-rate environment is making it easier to own a home, either as an owner-occupier or investor.
In fact, it’s never been cheaper for investors to own a property with the “net outlay” – the out-of-pocket expenses – being the lowest they’ve been for decades considering how cheap finance is today.
- Smaller households are becoming the norm
Sure many people live in a multigenerational household, but pretty soon Millennials will make up one-third of the property market and their households tend, in general, to be smaller as are the households of the booming 65+ year old demographic.
More one and two people households mean that moving forward, we will need more dwellings for the same number of people.
- More renters
Soon 40% of our population will be renters, partly because of affordability issues but also because of lifestyle choices.
The government isn’t providing accommodation for these people. That’s up to you and me as property investors.
- First home buyers are back
First home buyers are back with a vengeance, in part thanks to the many incentives to encourage them, but also because of cheap finance and rising property values.
- The underlying fundamentals are strong
Our economy recovery is unprecedented, unemployment is falling quickly as new jobs are being created.
And Australia’s banking system is strong, stable, and sound.
Even though a few home buyers have overcommitted themselves financially, there should be no real concern about household debt because, in general, it is in the hands of those who can afford it.
There is currently a very low rate of mortgage default of mortgage to increase.
Sydney has once again recorded one of the largest rises in housing values over the month, but it’s also the city that has recorded the sharpest reduction in the pace of capital gains from earlier highs.
The monthly rate of growth is down from a recent high of 3.7% in March to 2.0% in July.
Sydney is the most expensive capital city by some margin and it’s also been the city where values have risen the most over the first seven months of the year.
Worsening affordability is likely a key contributing factor in the slowdown here, along with the negative impact on consumer sentiment as the city moves through an extended lockdown period.
Sydney house values are now up 23% over the past twelve months, while unit values are up less than half that rate.
With a 7.6% rise in values over the year.
In fact apartments in high supply areas such as the cookie cutter high rise CBD towers present a significant risk to property investors.
This trend already occurred prior to COVID-19 where certain areas in Sydney experienced major unit oversupply.
It seems the property investors are slowly understanding the risks associated with high-rise tower apartments in Sydney including potential construction defects, high vacancy rates, lack of scarcity, lack of capital growth, and the challenges of buying in buildings that are predominantly owned by investors, and often many overseas investors.
Real estate in Sydney’s larger regional locations, and in particular in lifestyle locations like Byron Bay, the Central Coast, the Hunter Valley, Wollongong, New South Wales south coast should perform strongly this year with beachside suburbs likely to outperform the wider overall market
The resurgence of buyer and seller interest in the Sydney property market has meant that auction clearance rates have consistently been in the high 70% – 80% range suggesting there are more buyers than there are sellers and this always leads to higher property prices
More investors are getting into the Sydney market now recognising that there are no bargains to be found and that in 12 months time the properties they purchased today will look like a bargain.
Sure there are fewer good properties for sale at the moment, and many of the good ones are for sale off-market, however, if you’d like to know a bit more about how to find these investment gems give the Metropole Sydney team a call on 1300 METROPOLE or click here and leave your details.
Melbourne’s housing market has moved through another solid month of growth with housing values rising 1.3% over the month of July.
Melbourne housing prices are now at new record highs having increased 10.4% in the last year.
While the annual rate of growth is about the decade average, it’s the lowest annual increase across the capital cities.
The softer performance relative to other regions is due to a few different factors.
These include weaker unit market conditions where values are up by 5.9% over the year, weaker demographic trends as population growth is negatively impacted by closed international borders and stronger migration to the regional areas of the state, and a more significant impact from COVID outbreaks and associated lockdowns.
At Metropole we’re finding that strategic investors and homebuyers looking to upgrade are actively out picking the eyes out of the market.
While overall Melbourne property values likely to increase by double digits in 2021, like all our capital cities there is not one Melbourne property market, and A-grade homes and investment-grade properties are likely to exhibit strong double-digit capital growth.
Sure there are fewer good properties for sale at the moment, and many of the good ones are for sale off-market, however, if you’d like to know a bit more about how to find these investment gems give the Metropole Melbourne team a call on 1300 METROPOLE or click here and leave your details.
If you’d like to know a bit more about how to find investment grade properties in Melbourne please in the balance of this year give the Metropole Melbourne team a call on 1300 METROPOLE or click here and leave your details.
Brisbane’s house prices remained resilient over 2020 when other markets were impacted by the economic impact of COVID-19.
Now, moving forward, the Sunshine State will shine with strong demand for homes, particularly in lifestyle areas, likely to deliver double-digit capital growth over the next 12 months.
Brisbane house prices have increased 6% over the last quarter alone and are up 15.9% over the last year.
The rate of growth across the Brisbane housing market has held firmer relative to the larger capital cities.
Where there is some evidence that growth in housing values has slowed the reduction is nowhere near as sharp as Sydney or Melbourne.
Similar to most regions around the country, house values are rising at a faster pace than unit values with an annual growth rate of 17.7% for houses and 7.0% for units.
The outlook for Brisbane is looking more positive though, with a strong demographic trend fuelled by interstate migration, a large infrastructure budget, and a burgeoning level of excitement following the announcement that Brisbane would host the 2032 Olympic games.
Similarly, popular areas of the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast have enjoyed strong demand considering the increased flexibility of being able to work from home and commuting to the big smoke less frequently.
At the same time, property investor activity has been strong, particularly for houses, not only coming from locals but from interstate investors who see strong upside in Brisbane property prices as well as favourable rental returns.
However, there is not one Queensland property market, nor one south-east Queensland property market, and different locations are performing differently and are likely to continue to do so.
Houses remain a firm favourite of prospective home hunters, with demand rising post-lockdown and it remains significantly elevated compared to last year.
However, apartment demand has been sliding and, in general, apartments in Queensland are a higher risk investment than houses, particularly due to a high supply of apartments that are unsuitable for families or owner-occupiers.
Brisbane is likely to be one of the best performing property markets over the next few years, but while some locations in Brisbane have strong growth potential, and the right properties in these locations will make great long-term investments, certain submarkets should be avoided like the plague.
Our Metropole Brisbane team has noticed a significant increase in local consumer confidence with many more homebuyers and investors showing interest in a property.
At the same time we are getting more enquiries from interstate investors there we have for many, many years.
Canberra House Price Forecasts
Canberra’s property market has been a “quiet achiever” with median house prices recording the biggest jump in prices across all of Australia’s capital cities, at a huge 29.2% in just one year or 10.4% over the June quarter, to a new median of $1.015 million according to Domain’s House Price Report.
That means that prices soared by almost $1,054 a day over the June quarter to give a total rise of $96,000.
This is the steepest price acceleration in almost three decades, the Domain report explained.
Median house prices in the inner north, inner south, and Woden Valley are now all above seven digits.
But unit price growth has been more restrained as the development boom of recent years contains prices, although they are edging closer to a record high, up a more modest $18,000 (or 3.6%) over the June quarter to $504,217.
Interestingly, since the pandemic, Canberra house prices have risen a huge 30.9% and unit prices 9.4%, which is the highest rate of growth across all of Australia’s cities.
Perth House Price Forecast
The Perth housing market continues to record a rise in values although the pace of growth has slowed.
In line with rising home values, the annual number of dwelling sales across the Perth market has reached the highest level since 2006, with approximately 49,500 houses and units sold over the year.
At the same time, the number of listings across the Perth region has trended lower, tracking roughly 26% below the five-year average at the end of July.
Rental markets are amongst the tightest of any capital with house rents up 16.6% over the year and unit rents up 14.6%.
With housing values rising, strong rental conditions, and high rental yields along with improving demographic and economic conditions, it’s likely the Perth housing market will become increasingly more attractive to investors.
But this does not mean that investors should jump into the Perth property market – there are better opportunities in other parts of Australia.
The problem is the Western Australian economy is too dependent on one industry – the mining industry, and much of this dependant on China.
Without structural changes to the W.A. economy, it is unlikely to be able to deliver the significant number of higher-paying jobs and the substantial increase in population growth required to keep driving strong housing price growth in the medium to long term.
Hobart House Price Forecast
Hobart was the darling of speculative property investors and the best performing property market in 2017- 8, and while dwelling values reached a record high in February 2020, its boom interrupted by Covid-19.
Hobart property values are moving up again with values up to new record levels up 21.9% over the past year.
Adelaide House Price Forecast
Adelaide housing values were up 1.7% in July taking the annual growth rate to 15.7%, the highest level since the Global Financial Crisis.
Housing demand has surged across Adelaide with the number of home sales over the past year the highest since 2002.
With demand at the highest level in almost two decades, advertised supply levels are around record lows.
Active listings numbers were around 34% below the five-year average at the end of July, demonstrating a severe shortage of available supply that is keeping upward pressure on housing prices.
Across the sub-regions of Adelaide, the pace of annual capital gains ranges from a 26.8% lift in values across Burnside through to a 3.4% rise across the inner-city precinct.
Now is the time to take advantage of the opportunities the current property markets are offering.
Sure the markets are moving on, but not all properties are going to increase in value. Now, more than ever, correct property selection will be critical.
You can trust the team at Metropole to provide you with direction, guidance, and results.
Whether you’re a beginner or an experienced investor, at times like we are currently experiencing you need an advisor who takes a holistic approach to your wealth creation and that’s exactly what you get from the multi-award-winning team at Metropole.
We help our clients grow, protect and pass on their wealth through a range of services including:
- Strategic property advice. – Allow us to build a Strategic Property Plan for you and your family. Planning is bringing the future into the present so you can do something about it now! Click here to learn more
- Buyer’s agency – As Australia’s most trusted buyers’ agents we’ve been involved in over $4Billion worth of transactions creating wealth for our clients and we can do the same for you. Our on the ground teams in Melbourne, Sydney, and Brisbane bring you years of experience and perspective – that’s something money just can’t buy. We’ll help you find your next home or an investment-grade property. Click here to learn how we can help you.
- Wealth Advisory – We can provide you with strategic tailored financial planning and wealth advice. Click here to learn more about we can help you.
- Property Management – Our stress-free property management services help you maximise your property returns. Click here to find out why our clients enjoy a vacancy rate considerably below the market average, our tenants stay an average of 3 years, and our properties lease 10 days faster than the market average.
You may also be interested in reading:
- What can history teach us about what’s ahead for property
- How to Choose a Property Advisor
- What’s ahead for Brisbane’s property market?
- Property Investment In Sydney – 20 Market Insights
- Property Investment In Melbourne – 29 Real Estate Market Tips
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