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By Michael Yardney

Australia’s Baby Boom: unpacking the latest birth rate surge and its implications for the property market

Australia is experiencing a baby boom.

While the term 'baby boom' often conjures memories of the post-war era, this current trend is not to be underestimated says demographer Simon Kuestenmacher in a recent article in The New Daily

There are implications for various sectors, including healthcare, education, and notably the property market.

This isn't just a marginal increase in births; it's substantial enough to be termed a 'boom' according to Kuestenmacher.

In 2022 Australia registered 301,000 births – that’s only four per cent below the all-time high of 2018, when we recorded 315,000 births.

Total Number Of Births Registered In Australia 1934 To 2022

The most common age bracket to give birth is now 30-34 but births in the 35-44 year age bracket are also on the rise.

This boom is not an isolated event; it is in the context of global shifts, with other countries like the United States also experiencing birth rate increases.

Our baby boom could be a result of various factors such as increased economic stability, social factors, or even government incentives for families.

When you break it down demographically, each age group might have different motivations for contributing to this trend.

For instance, Millennials might finally be hitting that stage of life where they're financially secure enough to start families, whereas older generations might be taking advantage of government incentives.

And this boom comes at a time when women our fertility rate is dropping.

Kuestenmacher explains…

“One reason why we have fewer kids is that we start families later in life – there just isn’t enough time left to make heaps of babies.

A more highly educated female population (Australian women outperform men in primary, secondary, and tertiary education) and a much higher female workforce participation rate are also linked to smaller families.”

Total Fertility Rate In Australia

Property market dynamics: more families, more homes?

More births mean more families, and more families require more homes—it's simple math.

However, the type of homes and their locations could drastically affect the property market.

There will be a greater demand for family-friendly properties. Whether it's upsizing from a one-bedroom flat to a three-bedroom home in the suburbs or moving from an apartment to a townhouse, the property implications are vast.

Areas traditionally seen as 'young and trendy' might experience a shift as these young people become parents and seek out family-friendly environments - suburbs with good schools, healthcare facilities, and parks are likely to become hotspots.

And we’re likely to see increased demands in suburbs that offer a balance between work-life and amenities such as schools and parks.

Types of Property in Focus

  1. Townhouses and Villas: Smaller families may opt for compact living solutions, pushing up demand for townhouses and villas.
  1. Suburban Houses: Larger outdoor spaces and multiple rooms will make suburban houses a hot ticket item for bigger families.
  1. Multi-Generational Homes: The increasing acceptance of extended families living together could lead to a boom in multi-generational homes.

Economic impact

The cyclical effect of a baby boom can't be understated.

More babies mean more spending, not just on baby essentials but on bigger ticket items like cars and homes as families expand.

This, in turn, stimulates the economy and can push property prices higher due to increased demand.

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Note: The surge in birth rates is more than just a statistic - it's a multi-faceted trend that touches on social change, economic repercussions, and, of course, the property market.

As property is a long-term investment, understanding these shifts is vital for making informed decisions.

About Michael Yardney Michael is a director of Metropole Property Strategists who help their clients grow, protect and pass on their wealth through independent, unbiased property advice and advocacy. He's once again been voted Australia's leading property investment adviser and one of Australia's 50 most influential Thought Leaders. His opinions are regularly featured in the media.

I'm a bit confused about this. The birth rate in raw numbers appears to be at a steady high of around 300,000. However, as a percentage of population it's steadily falling. Total demand must be a function of birth rate minus death rate, then adjusted ...Read full version

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