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Ahmad Imam Square Wide Lo Rez 400.jpgtim Lawless
By Tim Lawless
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Brisbane housing market update [video] | February 2026

key takeaways

Key takeaways

Brisbane dwelling values rose by 1.6% in January, contributing to a massive 15.7% annual increase that has added roughly 143,000 dollars to the median value over the past year.

The unit market is currently outperforming houses with an 18.3% annual growth rate, led by a 23.4% surge in the lower quartile as buyers seek more affordable entry points.

While momentum has eased slightly from the 2.0% monthly peak in October, persistently low supply with listings 25% below the five-year average continues to put upward pressure on prices.

Brisbane’s housing market continues to demonstrate strong growth, with home values rising by 1.6% in January.

While this remains a robust result, it marks a slight deceleration from the cyclical high of 2.0% recorded in October last year.

Over the past 12 months, Brisbane dwelling values have surged by 15.7%, adding approximately $143,000 to the median value.

The market is being propelled by exceptional performance in the unit sector and lower price points.

As affordability constraints tighten for detached houses, demand is increasingly shifting toward more accessible options, resulting in record-breaking capital gains for apartments.

Brisbane Market Performance

Brisbane’s annual capital gains have reached double digits across both houses and units, with the lower end of the market seeing the most intense appreciation.

Segment Monthly Change (January) Annual Change Key Performance Factor
All Dwellings 1.6% 15.7% Median dwelling value up by ~$143,000 in a year.
Houses Strong 15.1% Sustained demand despite rising entry costs.
Units Outperforming 18.3% Driven by lower price points and high investor interest.

Source: Cotality, February 2026

The Unit Sector Surge

The unit market has officially overtaken houses in terms of the rate of capital gain.

Values for units rose by 18.3% over the past year, compared to 15.1% for houses.

Within this sector, the lower quartile of units is the standout performer, recording a massive 23.4% surge in values over the last 12 months.

This trend reflects a clear pivot by buyers toward affordable high-density living as house prices continue to outpace local income growth.

Supply and Rental Market Pressure

Tight supply remains the primary driver of price growth.

Advertised stock levels are tracking roughly 25% below the five-year average, and new housing completions are failing to keep pace with demand.

Metric Current Condition
National Vacancy Rate 1.7% (Extremely tight)
Rental Growth (National) 5.4% annually (+$35.20 per week)
Supply Status Advertised stock ~25% below 5-year average

Source: Cotality, February 2026

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Note: Ultra-low rental vacancy rates are also nudging more households toward home ownership.

With the national rental index up 0.6% in January—the strongest monthly change since April last year—the financial incentive to transition from renting to owning remains strong for those who can clear the serviceability buffer.

Outlook and Risks for 2026

Brisbane is set to face a more complex environment in 2026.

The 25 basis point rate hike in February and new APRA restrictions on high debt-to-income lending will likely temper borrowing capacity.

However, Brisbane’s relative affordability compared to Sydney and its persistently low inventory levels are expected to provide a strong buffer.

While growth is likely to remain positive, the pace is forecast to become "softer and more uneven" as the year progresses.

Ahmad Imam Square Wide Lo Rez 400.jpgtim Lawless
About Tim Lawless Tim is Research Director at Cotality (formerly CoreLogic), analysing real estate markets, demographics and economic trends across Australia. Visit www.corelogic.com.au
3 comments

I have 3 teenage kids - make it stop!!!! I guess I will be visiting the eventual grand-kids in some sleepy rural town miles from anywhere - as who of the next generation can afford to live here.

0 replies

But the Olympics, isn’t it going to be a game changer? The whole world will wanna invest there because they are holding an event headlined by swimming in a pool and some foot races?

1 reply

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