No sign of significant market acceleration in our property markets

While our competitors wish to grab headlines by stating one month the market is falling and will slow, then the next month reporting “the strongest growth since 2007”, we on the other hand, have been very consistent and accurate on our market observations.

It is clear for all to see that the market remains strong on the east coast of Australia, however the mining exposed cities are by and large, having a downturn that will likely persist for some time yet.

The number of Australian residential property listings increased during August, perking up after a substantial dip in listings during July.

Nationally, the number of unsold properties on the market has been recorded at 347,646 for August 2014 – a -3.8% increase month-on-month and -2.1% decrease year-on-year.

Key Points

  • Total online residential listings increased during the month of August, recording a rise of 3.8% and coming to a total of 347, 546.
  • This figure represents a decrease of -2.1% when compared to the corresponding period of the previous year (August 2013).
  • Darwin recorded the highest monthly increase in stock levels of all the capital cities, increasing by 8.7% during August 2014 and coming to a total of 1,719.
  • Hobart recorded the only monthly decrease in stock levels, falling by 0.4% and coming to a total of 4,045.
  • Darwin was the capital city to record the highest yearly increase in stock levels, climbing 19% since the corresponding period of the previous year (August 2013).
  • Sydney has recorded the most substantial yearly decrease in stock levels, falling by -9.4% since the corresponding period of the previous year (August 2013) and coming to a total of 22,748.

More details:

graph1

Of particular growing importance, is the narrowing difference in the yearly decrease of stock on market, where an ongoing trend has now become evident.

Indeed we are not seeing the large drop in stock levels year on year, as we were at approximately this time last year, when the market (east coast predominantly) initially began to boom.

With the amount of stock steadying year on year, SQM Research believes there is no further acceleration in market momentum beyond what is already in existence.

However it should be noted August’s monthly rise in listings for sale, is most likely due to seasonality, with the spring selling season approaching.

Further to this, SQM Research’s Asking Prices Index has revealed the only capital city to record monthly increases in vendor sentiment on both houses and units was Melbourne, with the remainder of the capital cities recording mixed results.

graph2



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Louis Christopher

About

Louis is recognised as one of Australia’s most respected and impartial research property analyst. He has extensive knowledge and experience of property and is regularly quoted in the media on his insights and is director of SQM Research.
Visit www.SQMResearch.com.au


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