At a time when inflation is sky-high and everyday Australians are feeling the pinch and properties are both low in supply and high in price, many fingers are pointed at property investors.
Note: Because when there is so much discussion around how much money you really need to be considered ‘rich’, many believe that so-called ‘greedy property investors’ are to blame for market and financial woes.
After all, aren’t these ‘greedy investors’ buying up all the affordable properties and leaving little for the rest?
The latest Australian Taxation Office (ATO)’s statistics reveal some numbers which help to give an insight into how rich property investors really are and how many properties these investors really hold.
So you can find out the truth for yourself.
The short answer is: it's limitless.
Sure, most investors never get past their first property investment because they don’t start out on the right foot, they don’t do their research or know what they’re doing, and they also don’t buy the right property in the right location (what I call an ‘investment-grade’ property, but the truth is near all these failings are human error.
While money, income, and time may be limiting factors initially, the truth is, no matter how much you earn there is an opportunity to build a property portfolio.
And with the right investment plan and by buying the right investment-grade property in the right location you can get your foot firmly on the property investment ladder.
Because that’s the thing with property investment, when you get it right you have the potential to achieve spectacular capital growth over the years - which will help you buy the next property, and the next, and the next.
Unfortunately, many fail at the first hurdle, as the below data shows.
And while you may think that so-called ‘greedy investors’ are taking all our property for themselves, the data paints a very different picture.
According to CoreLogic and ABS:
- The number of residential dwellings in Australia has boomed to 10.9 million
- The total value of Australia’s residential market rose to $9.6 trillion at the end of May 2023, up from $9.5 trillion at the end of April and $9.4 trillion at the end of March 2023.
- There is a total of $2.2 trillion in outstanding mortgage debt for these properties,
- And 56% of Australian household wealth is held in housing
The latest data from the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) reveals that 2,245,539 Australians or around 20% of Australia’s 11.4 million taxpayers owned an investment property in 2020-21 – this is the latest data available at the time of writing and was released in June 2023.
Note: That means that around 2.24 million taxpayers in Australia are property investors, and collectively they own 3.25 million investment properties.
Here’s how many properties investors hold in Australia in the 2020-21 financial year:
- 71.48% of investors hold 1 investment property
- 18.86% of investors hold 2 investment properties
- 5.81% of investors own 3 investment properties
- 2.11% of investors own 4 investment properties
- 0.87% of investors own 5 investment properties
- 0.89% (or 19,920) of investors hold 6 or more investment properties
While the number of property investors actually rose a little (there were 18,698 more investors than the previous financial year) it's likely this number will be much lower over the next few year as investors fled the market. .
Looking at a back series of these ATO stats shows that a decade ago 60,000 to 70,000 new investors entered the property market each year, but this number has fallen significantly over the last few years.
So there are fewer new investors entering the market.
Number of Australian Property Investors:
|Year||Total||Change on previous years|
Of course the figures above are nett numbers meaning the change in number of investors after some investors have exited the market by selling a property and others have entered the list when the bought a property .
Having said that, you can see how invested numbers have fallen over the last 7 years as investors have had to contend with:
- 2014 - APRA's macroprudential controls throttling banks ability to lend to investors
- 2016 - APRA limiting interest only lending
- 2017 - The federal labour party threatening to remove negative gearing which lost them an election when they tried again in 2019
- 2017 - Removing depreciation claims on existing properties and travel bans to inspect your investments.
- 2019 - APRA increasing buffers and the "floor rate" to 7%
- 2020 - Victorian government's massive tenancy law reforms favouring tenants
- 2021 - APRA lifts lending buffer to 3%
- 2021 - Queensland government's Tenancy Reform announced
- 2021 - The RBA starts raising interest rates
- 2023- ACT and WA propose Tenancy Reforms
Note: The data also shows that, while older Australians used to own the majority of investment properties, that has now shifted - today, ‘working age’ Australians dominate when it comes to property investment.
The top investor age groups are:
- 5% are aged between 55 and 64 years old
- 5% are aged between 45 to 54 years old
- 5% are aged between 35 to 44 years old
- 5% are aged between 25 to 34 years old
- 12% are aged between 65 to 74 years old
- 5% are aged 75 years old or more
- 5% are aged between 15 to 24 years old
Nothing much has changed over the years.
The fact that 90% of investors only own one or two investment properties has been the status quo for many years.
But what I find more interesting is digging into the statistics to see how much rental income these property investors are earning.
Of the 2.22 million property investors, 54% are reported to have been negatively geared during the 2019-20 financial period, claiming a net rental loss for the year.
That means that Australia’s property investors collectively incurred a $166.5 million net rental loss over the period, the smallest in two decades.
Note: The data also shows that investors with fewer properties are more likely to be negatively geared.
Net rent income in Australia by the number of property interests
|Outcome||№ of Investors||Property Interests||Total Rental Income||Avg. Rental Income|
Note: Property investment may be simple, but it’s not easy.
Clearly, most property investors failed to build a sufficiently large property portfolio to provide them with a substantial retirement income.
However, growing a property portfolio will supplement your superannuation and other investment assets to help secure your financial future.
Of course, the number of investment properties you own is not nearly as important as the quality of your assets and the amount of equity you have in them.
I’ve often said I’d prefer to own one Westfield shopping centre than 50 properties in regional Australia.
Examining these ATO statistics made me wonder how our clients at Metropole Property Strategists, who have been given strategic advice to guide their investing, have performed compared to the average property investor.
Currently, Metropole manages over $2 billion worth of property assets on behalf of our clients.
And, as you can see from the following chart, on the whole, clients of Metropole have significantly outperformed the averages:
- Only around half of our clients own only one investment property - considerably below the Australian average, but that’s a good thing
- 21% of our clients own two investment properties, and that’s more than the Australian average
- Almost 10% of our clients own three investment properties, which is again higher than the Australian average
- 6% of our clients own four investment properties
- 3% of our clients own five investment properties
- 7% of our clients own 6 or more investment properties – more than 7 times the number in the general property investment community.
We’ve only counted the properties we have bought for clients or that we manage for them.
This excludes properties clients purchased prior to coming to us and naturally skews our figures to the conservative side.
Note: It’s easy to buy the first property, but each additional property added is progressively more difficult.
We’d like to think our strategic approach to investing has contributed to our client’s outperformance.
The first thing is to recognise that not all properties are “investment grade”.
Of course, any property can become an investment - just kick the owner out and put a tenant in, but that doesn’t make it “investment grade” - one that grows at wealth-producing rates of return.
The next important factor to recognise is that the location of your property will do 80% of the heavy lifting.
At Metropole, we use a top-down property investment framework - going from macro to micro.
The first step is to start with the big picture and find the right locations, ones that will outperform the averages.
With the right location on our radar, we can then begin to drill down and apply the 6 Stranded Strategic Approach to select the right properties within those locations.
This is the property investment system that has helped our clients build a very substantial property portfolio.
Over the years we have honed our strategies to find that less than 4% of properties on the market at any one time that we like to call “investment grade” properties.
We define investment grade, as properties that are likely to grow at wealth-producing rates of return.
Let’s look at this framework in more detail:
1. The right stage of the economic cycle
It starts with buying at the right stage of the economic and property cycle.
We look at the big picture – how is the economy performing and where are we in the property cycle?
2. The right state
Then we look for the right state in which to invest – one that is at the right stage of its own property cycle.
While we are not trying to time the cycle, we do not want to buy right at the peak when we will have to wait longer for capital growth.
We only invest in our larger capital cities, where there are multiple pillars to the economy – because this is where economic growth and wage growth will continually occur.
3. The right suburb
Then within that state, we look for the right suburb – one with a long history of strong capital growth outperforming the averages.
We have found some suburbs have 50-100% more capital growth than others over a 10-year period and obviously, these are the suburbs we target.
- Also read:Heat comes out of the housing market as values across Melbourne dip and Sydney slows | Corelogic Home Value Index
- Also read:Home Price Growth Still Strong Over November | Latest Housing Market Stats
- Also read:Boom to bust: What makes property prices rise and fall
- Also read:Latest property price forecasts for 2024 revealed. What’s ahead in our housing markets in the next year or two?
- Also read:Sydney property market forecast for 2024
It’s all about demographics, as these suburbs tend to be areas where more owner-occupiers want to live because of lifestyle choices and where the locals will be prepared to and can afford to pay a premium to live because they have higher disposable incomes.
In general, they are the more affluent inner- and middle-ring suburbs of our big capital cities, so we will check the census statistics to find suburbs where wage growth is above average.
Residents in these areas will have more disposable income to spend on upgrading their homes or buying new properties.
Next, we check out the supply and demand ratio in the area to make sure there is not likely to be a short-term oversupply of properties on the market.
They say things like: “Oh, this suburb hasn’t had much capital growth – maybe its time has come,” or “That’s a brand-new suburb. They’re getting a train line down there so it must grow in value”.
That is a hunch or gut feel and it needs to be backed up with data and a range of important factors, which we will highlight below.
4. The right location
Once our research has shown us the suburb to explore, we look for the right location within it.
Some streets will always outperform others and in those streets, some properties will always be more desirable than others and will outperform by increasing in value.
Think about the suburb where you live – there would be areas you would happily live in and areas you would avoid, like on main roads or too close to shops, train lines, schools, or commercial areas.
5. The right property
Once we find the right locations that work, we then use the ‘6-Stranded Strategic Approach’ to find the right property within that location.
6. The right price
We are not looking for a ‘cheap’ property (there will always be cheap properties around in secondary locations).
We are looking for the right property at a good price. The right property is the one that will consistently perform year after year.
Interestingly, most property investors start with the price and work backward.
The price has to be right but it is not the most important factor when selecting an investment-grade asset.
At Metropole, we look for the following strict investment-grade fundamentals in our 6-stranded strategic approach to buying a top-performing property:
1. Strong appeal to owner-occupiers
Not that you plan to sell your property, but because owner occupiers will buy similar properties thereby pushing up local real estate values.
We also favour locations where a higher number of homeowners live vs investors.
This creates more predictability and less volatility and risk.
2. At or below its intrinsic value
That is why we avoid new and off-the-plan properties, which come at a premium price due to developers' margins, kickbacks, and commissions.
We want to buy below replacement cost/intrinsic value.
3. With a high land-to-asset value ratio
A high loan-to-asset value ratio does not necessarily mean a large block of land, but one where the land component makes up a significant part of the asset value.
This will be an area where more owner-occupiers will want to live because of lifestyle choices and one where the locals will be prepared to and can afford to, pay a premium price to live because they have higher disposable incomes.
4. Location with a long strong history of capital growth
A known and proven suburb that will continue to outperform the averages because of the demographics in the area.
Following the top-down approach (which we covered above) is how we ensure this.
5. We look for a property with a twist
We do not just look for an average property, but we look for something unique, special, different, or scarce about the property.
Something that sets it apart and gives it a higher level of demand from owner-occupiers who are willing to pay more for the property in the right location.
6. Potential to add value
We buy properties where we can manufacture capital growth through refurbishment, renovations, or redevelopment rather than waiting for the market to deliver capital growth.
This can be done upon purchase or in the future.
By following Metropole’s 6 Stranded Strategic Approach, we minimise our clients' risks and maximise their upside.
Each strand represents a pillar underpinning the capital growth of the property and combining all six is a powerful way of putting the odds in your favour.
If one strand lets you down, you have four or five others supporting your property’s performance.