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Here’s what’s happening in our housing markets in 17 charts - featured image
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Here’s what’s happening in our housing markets in 17 charts

Residential real estate, inflation  and interest rates just can't stay out of the news can they?

The latest CoreLogic Chart Pack provides a detailed overview of key market metrics, so here’s what happened in May.

Market overview

The combined value of residential real estate was valued at $9.97 trillion at the end of May, just under the $10 trillion mark.

However, the overall loan to value ratio of Australia's real estate is very healthy with only $2.1 trillion worth of outstanding mortgage debt.

With half of Australia's home owners having no mortgage debt and 40% of those with loans having fixed rate loans, and many borrowers well ahead with their repayments, this means most homeowners won't be affected by rising interest rates for quite some time.

Residential Property

Dwelling values in Australia are 14.1% higher over the past 12 months.

This is down from a cyclical peak growth of 22.4% in the 12 months to January 2022.

Annual Growth

Brisbane has the strongest growth.

The highest annual growth rate in dwelling values among the regional and capital city dwelling markets was across Brisbane, at 27.8%.

The lowest rate of appreciation in values was across Regional NT, which each saw a 4.9% rise over the year.

Capital Growth 1 Capital Growth 2

The most expensive properties are suffering most.

In the three months to May, capital city homes saw upper quartile values fall -1.4%, compared to a rise of 3.4% across the lowest quartile of values.

Upper QuartileSales volumes are starting to ease from recent highs.

CoreLogic estimates that in the 12 months to May, there were 586,602 sales nationally, up 6.5% compared to the previous year.

However, initial sales estimates over May were -26.9% lower than the same month of the previous year.Sales Volumes Easing

At the national level, properties are taking longer to sell.

In the three months to May, the median days on market was recorded at 28, up from a recent low of 20 days in the three months to November.

Days On Market

Vendor Discounting Increasing

Similarly, vendor discounting has also increased from the recent low of 2.9% recorded in the three months to November last year.

In the three months to May, the median vendor discount at the national level was 3.3%.Vendor Disounting

 In the four weeks to June 6, there were 39,858 dwellings listed for sale nationally.

While new listings volumes have steadied, they are higher than the five-year average for the equivalent period.

Lisitings

Auction clearance rates are softening

The combined capital cities clearance rate continued to trend lower through May, averaging 60.6% in the four weeks to May 29th.

This is down from 75.8% in the equivalent period of 2021.Auction Clearance Rates

Rents are rising

Unlike changes in dwelling purchase values, rental value growth remains high across Australian dwellings.

Rent values increased a further 1.0% in May, taking rents 9.3% higher over the year.

Through May, Australian gross rent yields rose to 3.3%, up from a recent low of 3.21% through January this year. Since the end of 2021, gross rent yields in Sydney have lifted 17 basis points, and 12 basis points in Melbourne.Rents 1 Rents 2Dwelling approvals falling

Through April, dwelling approvals declined for a second consecutive month, down -2.4%.

The decline was driven by a -7.9% drop in unit approvals.

With very few new apartments in the pipeline, and many apartment blocks on the drawing board not proceeding because of rising costs and supply shortages, the rental crisis we are experiencing will only get worse

However, detached house approvals were 10,154 through April, remaining above the decade average of 9,777.

Dwelling Approvals

 Lending for property purchases fell -6.4% in over the month of April.

Owner occupier lending fell -7.4% (or $1.6 billion), while investor lending was down -4.8% ($557 million).

Lending ApprovalsInvestor Lending

Source of charts: Corelogic - June 2022

 

About Michael is a director of Metropole Property Strategists who help their clients grow, protect and pass on their wealth through independent, unbiased property advice and advocacy. He's once again been voted Australia's leading property investment adviser and one of Australia's 50 most influential Thought Leaders. His opinions are regularly featured in the media. Visit Metropole.com.au
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