Despite predictions of property prices tumbling because of distressed sales, recent data from Domain shows that most capital cities around the country have seen only very marginal increases in distressed listings, while in Canberra and Brisbane the number of distressed listings has actually fallen.
The property pessimists are suggesting that many first homebuyers and investors have over committed themselves financially and will have to set up their properties, creating a domino effect of falling property values.
However JobKeeper and JobSeeker have minimised many Australian’s financial hardship.
At the same time banks are not keen to force people to sell up their home, offering them payment holidays to get through these difficult times.
And the banks have been helped by the RBA introducing a three year funding facility for banks of up to $90 billion with a concessional interest rate of 0.25%.
At the same time the RBA has extended facilities to banks to help find business loans
In other words the RBA is supporting and protecting our banks as is APRA who have also adopted a series of measures to compliment easier lending conditions amid COVID-19.
It’s important to remember that even in very good economic times there will always be a percentage of borrowers in mortgage arrears and others who are in what some would call mortgage distress – not that there is a firm definition of what this term means – yet they don’t sell up their homes.
To try and identify urgent sales Domain filtered listings of properties for sale looking for descriptions that included but were not limited to: reduced price, mortgage in possession, urgent sale, motivated vendor, or reduced price, between February and mid-May.
Here’s what they found:
“It’s all those holiday regions that have gone into distressed selling,” said Domain’s senior research analyst Dr. Nicola Powell.
Distressed listings on the Sunshine Coast and the Gold Coast rose 0.6 percentage points to 3.4 percent and 5.5 percent, respectively.
An uptick in property listings identified as distressed or urgent in several regional locations could be an early sign homeowners there are coming under financial pressure as a consequence of COVID-19.
Among the areas were Port Stephens, on the NSW coast, where the proportion of urgent sale listings grew from 1.5 percent to 3.4 percent and Perth Hills in Western Australia
Nevertheless, Dr. Powell said it was still early days for the economic impact of COVID-19 to play out in the property market but the fact the increases in urgent or distressed listings were still modest across the capital cities was a positive sign.
The fallout will vary
The impact of COVID-19 on household financial stress and in turn on property values will vary from region to region depending on the level of exposure to industries hardest hit by the virus.
At the same time many investors who were trying to get a higher return by leasing their properties out on Airbnb have put their properties onto the general rental market.
According to data website AirDNA, which tracks Airbnb listings, the number of active short-stay holiday rentals in Australia fell from 202,000 in early February to 164,000 by the end of April.
New bookings fell from 78,000 to 27,000 over the same period.
Now is the time to take action and set yourself for the opportunities that will present themselves as the market moves on
If you’re wondering what will happen to property in 2020–2021 you are not alone.
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