Consumer Confidence keeps falling – that’s not good for property

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence fell a sharp 3.5% last week, its third straight weekly fall.

That’s not good for our economy or for property.

When people feel feel confident they’re more likely to spend their money and when they’re not confident about their jobs and their financial  future, they keeps their hands in their pockets

Key points:  Downturn2

  • Households’ views towards current financial conditions fell 1.3% last week, following a 1.0% fall in the week prior.
  • Sentiment towards future financial conditions plummeted (-7.6%) to its lowest level in a year.
  • Consumers’ continued to be less optimistic about current economic conditions – their assessment declined another 0.8% last week, the third consecutive weekly fall. V
  • Views towards future economic conditions tumbled 5.3% last week, following a modest decline (-0.3%) in the previous week.
  • The ‘time to buy a household item’ sub-index slipped another 1.5% to 129.3 (vs 134.0 long term average). Four-week moving average inflation expectations were unchanged at 4.3%.

 

 Anz Roy Morgan Cc August 14 Figure 1

7616 Anz Roy Morgan Cc August 21 Figure 2
ANZ Head of Australian Economics, David Plank, commented:

“The sharp deterioration in confidence this week is quite disappointing given the great news about the fall in the unemployment rate to a six-year low. The decline in confidence may 

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reflect the impact of the messy political debate locally and the associated slump in support for the current Turnbull government, as revealed in the recent Fairfax-Ipsos poll. The sharp fall in future (rather than current) conditions provides some evidence of this. The considerable media focus on the impact of the drought may also have affected sentiment. Despite the recent declines; overall consumer confidence is still above its long-term average.

“It is, however, important to note that households’ views towards economic conditions have been trending down since late June. In four week moving average terms, sentiment around future conditions has fallen below its long term average (112.5 vs 113.9). Still, views towards current conditions remain above their long term average for the moment and, as a result, so do aggregate economic conditions.”
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Michael is a director of Metropole Property Strategists who help their clients grow, protect and pass on their wealth through independent, unbiased property advice and advocacy. He's once again been voted Australia's leading property investment adviser and his opinions are regularly featured in the media. Visit Metropole.com.au


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