John Lindeman has well over a decade of experience researching the nature and dynamics of various types of assets at major data analysts and is a leading property market researcher, author and commentator. For more information visit Lindeman Reports.
The sky is falling! The experts have started switching their property market predictions from boom to gloom, pointing to the current market slowdown as the first sign of an imminent collapse which threatens to bring down prices everywhere. I want to explain why they are completely wrong. These doom and gloom forecasts are guilty of…
It’s Melbourne Cup time, but there’s a race of much greater significance to property investors – it’s this year’s Housing Market Cup. You’ve studied the form, got some tips from mates at work and heard about a lucky few who really cleaned up, but will you be backing the winner of this year’s Housing Market…
With inflation finally under control, the Reserve Bank now has no option but to cut interest rates. I’ll explain why this could lead to the biggest property market boom ever. When high population growth creates a shortage of housing and the purchasing power of property buyers increases, the inevitable result is a housing boom. These…
When germs attack our bodies, our immune system quickly goes into action to repel or destroy the invaders. And if all else fails, it raises our body temperature until the enemy has been destroyed. It’s very similar to how the RBA is fighting the disease of inflation with high interest rates. Using higher temperatures to…
Potential sellers are often told that spring is the best time to sell their property and at first, this seems a no-brainer. The weather is warming up, gardens look their flowering best and buyers are returning to the property market in droves after hibernating during the long cold winter. Sellers are also frequently warned that…
The Reserve Bank is responsible for maintaining monetary policy that encourages economic growth and low unemployment while keeping inflation under control. The RBA uses interest rates to keep these three economic indicators in balance, so in which direction will the RBA move interest rates? Despite all the current focus on inflation, if unemployment rises and…
Many experts assure us that past performance is a good indicator of what to expect in the future. I have investigated how they rely on past performance to make their forecasts and have come across a huge contradiction. Some analysts claim that a history of strong growth is a reliable predictor of more growth to…
Which dynamics predict future property performance? Despite the obvious importance of making accurate property market forecasts, the industry is rife with ineffective and even inaccurate prediction methods. So let’s look at the three key dynamics that predict which way prices are likely to move. Experts utilise many different performance theories and metrics to make their…
When it comes to offering opinions on the state of Australia’s housing market, many commentators like to compare cities with cities. It might be a case of “Brisbane rising quickly” while “Perth takes a breather” or “Melbourne’s housing market remains flat”. The comments are applied to each city in its entirety, rather than checking what’s…
The Housing Industry Association has called on the Australian Government to increase the number of skilled workers from overseas in order to achieve the National Housing Accord’s goal of building 1.2 million new homes, but this will only result in a “Catch 22” issue. The catch is that a policy that encourages larger numbers of…
