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By Pete Wargent

Disinflation is ahead

Inflation is set to fade.

Inflation expectations are falling, with implied forecasts dropping to around 2-year lows in the US.

Pricing In Disinflation

Australia's 3-year bond yield is trading at 2.79 per cent yesterday morning, which is of course a long way below the current cash rate target of 3.60 per cent.
I reckon it will be important to stay focused on the big picture over the next 3 to 6 months.
There will probably be a lot of jumping at shadows and shouty headlines about stagflation or a return to the 1970s.
But overall markets clearly expect disinflation to set in, and then lower interest rates over the next few years.
Consumers already sense this, of course, and in Sydney, the housing market is rising from the lower end as the looming chronic shortage of properties on the market begins to bite.
Daily Housing Prices

About Pete Wargent Pete is a Chartered Accountant, Chartered Secretary and has a Financial Planning Diploma. Using a long term approach to building businesses, investing in equities, & owning a portfolio he achieved financial independence at the age of 33. Visit his blog
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