There is a line doing the rounds in overseas journals and podcasts about the death of the first-time home buyer. In Australia, I would not call it death just yet. But it is certainly prolonged suffocation. The desire is still there. The aspiration is still there. The cultural pull of owning your own home remains…
Most investors say they’re long-term investors. But then they check auction clearance rates every weekend, worry about the next interest rate decision, chase the latest hotspot, and get distracted by whatever the media says is working right now. And that’s a problem, because real wealth rarely comes from the investment that looks exciting today. It…
There is more conflicting information about property right now than at almost any point I can remember. Turn on the news and you will find someone warning that prices are about to fall. Scroll a little further and you will find someone else forecasting another year of growth. Somewhere in the middle of all that…
You can spend all day debating interest rates, immigration, building approvals, auction clearance rates and what the RBA might do next. But if you want to understand what really drives capital growth in the medium term, you need to look past the property headlines and follow the money. And in a city or region, money…
Sydney’s housing market is firmly in a downswing, with home values falling 0.9% in May 2026 — the fifth month-on-month decline recorded in the past six months and a clear signal that the city’s correction is deepening rather than stabilising. Since reaching a cyclical peak in November last year, Sydney housing values have fallen 2.1%,…
As widely expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia has held the cash rate today at 4.35% at its June meeting. But in a move that was less expected, it explicitly signalled that further hikes remain on the table. The final sentence of the media release added the clause “including increasing the cash rate target further if…
The Australian housing market has entered a new phase of weakness, with Cotality’s National Home Value Index recording a 0% change in May 2026 — effectively stalling for the first time since the current cycle began. Sydney and Melbourne are leading the market into a clear downturn, with values now sitting measurably below their November…
Today’s podcast is a little different as it is a replay of a discussion I had with Joey D’Agata on the Property Strategy Podcast about the evolution of my investment philosophy and the lessons learned over the five decades I’ve been involved in property. We explored my investment philosophy and how my thinking has evolved…
Australia’s population just ticked past 28 million people, and the timing tells you everything you need to know about the forces driving our property market. Back in 2003, the ABS published its official population projections and forecast that Australia would reach 26.4 million people by the year 2051 – assuming net overseas migration of around…
Melbourne’s housing market is in a position unlike any other capital city in Australia. Home values fell 0.8% in May 2026, extending a correction that has now carried the market 3.2% below the record highs set in March 2022 — meaning Melbourne never fully recovered from its previous downturn before the current one began. The…
