Following on from ANZ reporting a sharp slowdown in spending in March comes some more reassuring figures from Judo bank. All sectors of the Australian economy are now in contraction, suggesting that the interest rates hikes are more than just doing their job. And input price pressures are easing sharply, confirming that the peak inflation…
We got the expected bounce in employment in February, with total employed persons rising by +64,600 as Aussies returned from their long summer breaks. These solid increases came after two consecutive monthly declines, however. The 3-month average gain in employment was thus very modest at only +12k. With population growth rates running at record highs,…
Consumer sentiment is the lowest since the GFC Rate hikes have had quite an impact on sentiment. In fact surveys suggest that consumer sentiment is now lower than at the nadir ensuing from the Zombie apocalypse of 2020. It’s the lowest level since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009. Still, financial markets are pricing for…
Woeful building approvals figures were reported recently, with seasonally adjusted dwelling approvals falling to their lowest levels in over a decade (since 2012) in January according to ABS figures. Non-residential approvals also fell by -25.6 per cent over the month. Source: ABS The monthly numbers are very choppy, of course, but these figures generally appear…
The household saving ratio continued to plummet in the last quarter of 2022, now down to just 4.5 per cent, from a pandemic high of 23.7 per cent in 2020. The level will be quite close to zero by the end of this month. Despite this rundown, the economy actually contracted slightly in per capita…
Both the Fairfax newspapers and The Australian ran pieces on the prudential regulator and lending settings, following a media interview with the APRA Chair. The gist running through several media articles was that mortgage arrears remain low for now, and the 3 percentage points lending assessment buffer introduced in October 2021 remains in place for the…
Dwelling construction was significantly delayed in mid-2022 due to the combined shortages of labour and materials, and the number of new dwellings under construction remained resolutely high until September at around 243,500. Although attached dwellings under construction eased in the two most heavily populated states, south-east Queensland did see in an increase in much-needed supply…
Building approvals are at a 2-year low. In fact, only 849 units were approved in Sydney in November and a somewhat healthier 1,922 in Melbourne. Annual approvals for attached dwellings are running at around decade lows in the major cities, and are sinking fast again in Brisbane. Detached house approvals are falling away fast in…