With the Federal Budget landing this week, the housing tax debate has fired up again. Negative gearing. Capital gains tax. Investor “perks”. Housing affordability. You can almost set your watch by it. And what a yawn! Every budget cycle the same arguments reappear. And every cycle the same myths get recycled as fact. So before…
I recently ran a LinkedIn poll asking a simple question: What is actually driving Australia’s new housing stress? LinkedIn only gives you four options. So I went with what I thought were the big ones: • Lack of new housing supply • Planning approvals and delays • Interest rate settings • Population growth The result?…
Let’s get into it from the get go. “If we can’t house them, stop them.” Sounds neat. Sounds logical. It’s also wrong. The latest numbers show Australia’s population grew by 423,600 over the year to September 2025. Of that, about 311,000 came from net overseas migration. Just some 112,600 came from natural increase. And the fertility rate? Just 1.52. That’s not…
A few weeks back I explored the idea that planning approvals are routinely blamed for Australia’s housing shortage – yet when we dug into the numbers, the story proved far more nuanced. This post I want to explore the interplay between housing supply and demand and to see what an update of the national charts…
Most people assume that if costs rise due to a shock – such as the current Middle East shenanigans – they will fall back once things settle. But economics and, moreover, business doesn’t work that way. Prices move up quickly with rising costs, but they rarely come back down in any meaningful way. “Up like…
Australia loves a big housing target. A million homes here, 1.2 million there – bold numbers splashed across press releases and podium backdrops. But the latest BuildSkills Housing Workforce Capacity Study makes one thing painfully clear: We don’t have the people to build the homes we keep promising. And nowhere is that shortage sharper than in regional…
For decades, Australia’s housing debate has obsessed over the usual headline acts: soaring migration, slow approvals, rising costs, NIMBYism, and a construction sector that can’t catch a break. All true. All important. But beneath all that noise sits one of the quietest, most powerful forces reshaping housing demand – the surge in single-person households. Living…
Our recent research on Australia’s future demographic shape helps to pinpoint an imbalance between the type of housing that is being built and what our key buying groups want and can afford. 6 district buyer segments in our market Young renters First home buyers Upgraders Downsizers Retirees The aged care market Our work suggests that…
Australia’s housing debate is stuck — too hard, too slow, too expensive. Yet elsewhere, solutions are working. Cincinnati backed zoning reform with real money. Texas front-loaded infrastructure. Vancouver taxed empties back into use. And New Zealand simply rewrote its rules. Bold, coordinated action can boost supply and affordability faster than any inquiry ever will. 1….
One of the most persistent myths in Australian housing is the idea that high and rising house prices are caused by “not building enough.” It gets repeated because it sounds simple, logical and convenient. But it’s wrong – and the data, including my own charts, shows why. Let’s start with scale, because this alone exposes…
