[PODCAST] Shadow Treasurer Tim Wilson on Housing, Property Markets, Tax, Debt and Australia’s Economic Future

Negative gearing on established homes has just been abolished. The capital gains tax discount you've relied on for twenty years has been rewritten.

And somewhere between the government's press conference and the Treasury modelling, a trillion dollars in debt got added to the tab for a generation that hasn't even been asked if they're willing to pay it.

So here's the question I want to answer for you today. If you're a property investor, a business owner, or someone who just wants a comfortable retirement, what does the next three years actually look like for you?

By the end of this episode, you'll know exactly what the man leading the opposition to these changes thinks should happen instead.

You'll know whether a change of government would genuinely wind back negative gearing and CGT reform, or whether that's politically unrealistic once the changes are locked in.

And you'll understand where the real blame sits for the property market slowdown, because it's not as simple as the headlines make out.

My guest today is the Hon. Tim Wilson, the Federal Member for Goldstein and Australia's Shadow Treasurer and in this episode I’m speaking with him about what the recent tax and housing changes mean for property, business, and retirement outcomes.

We unpack how government debt, rising taxes, and weaker private investment are reshaping Australia’s economic outlook.

Tim explains why policy uncertainty is damaging confidence for property investors, business owners, and overseas capital.

We discuss how changes to negative gearing, capital gains tax, and trusts could lift rents and deter new housing supply.

We also explore why a growth-focused, small-business-led economy is, in Tim’s view, the best path forward.

Takeaways

• Government debt today becomes tomorrow’s taxes, squeezing household spending and future investment choices.
• Inflation erodes living standards by lifting supermarket prices while wages and productivity struggle to keep pace.
• Public-sector job growth can crowd out private enterprise, weakening long-term economic resilience and innovation.
• Higher taxes on property investment reduce rental supply, pushing rents upward for tenants.
• Tax changes that hurt housing feasibility discourage builders, slowing new dwelling construction across the market.
• First-home buyer schemes can unintentionally inflate entry-level prices by boosting demand faster than supply.
• Retrospective rule changes destroy investor confidence, making long-term capital allocation far riskier.
• Trust tax reforms may trigger costly restructures, wasting time and money across the economy.
• Prioritising super over home ownership delays deposits, family formation, and wealth-building for younger Australians.
• Small businesses drive productivity and hiring, so backing them supports broader economic growth and opportunity.

Links and Resources:

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Hon Tim Wilson – Shadow Treasurer

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