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Rental rates fall further in July

The July CoreLogic RP Data monthly rental report confirmed that rental rates fell by -0.3% in July 2015 across the combined capital cities.

The current annual rate of rental appreciation has reached a new record low of 0.9% and is continuing to trend lower.

Sydney and Hobart recorded the greatest increases in weekly rents.house rent

Dwelling rental rates across the combined capital cities are sitting at $486 per week and fell by -0.3% over the month of July.

However, weekly rents are up by 0.3% over the first seven months of the year and have increased by just 0.9% over the past 12 months.

The 0.9% annual rise in capital city rents is the slowest rate of growth on record, with data going back to December 1995.

Rental appreciation continues to be sluggish and can be largely attributed to the ongoing boom in dwelling construction across Australia’s capital cities accompanied by record high participation in the housing market from investors.

In particular, a high proportion of the inner city unit development is being targeted by domestic investors and foreign purchasers

Looking across the individual capital cities, over the past year, Sydney and Hobart have recorded the greatest increases in weekly rents, up by 2.5% and 2.3% respectively.

Over the past month, weekly rents have moved lower across every capital city and over the past three months rents are lower in all cities except for Melbourne.

With capital city rents increasing at their slowest pace on record and home values continuing to rise, gross rental yields are trending lower.

At a combined capital city level, gross rental yields were recorded at 3.4% for houses in July 2015 and at 4.3% for units while house rents are currently at a record low level.

One year ago, gross rental yields were recorded at 3.8% for houses and 4.6% for units across the combined capitals.

With capital growth likely to continue outpacing rental growth, we expect that rental returns could push even lower over the coming months.

From an investment perspective it means that capital growth is going to be much more important for a return on investment.

Weekly rents fall across every capital city over the month of July

According to analysis from CoreLogic RP Data, rental rates across the combined capital cities fell by -0.3% in July 2015 and the annual rate of growth continues to slow, reaching a new record low of 0.9%.

Home loans marketAcross the combined capital cities, dwelling rental rates are recorded at $486 per week and they have fallen by -0.3% over the month, are up by 0.3% over the first seven months of the year and have increased by just 0.9% over the past 12 months.

The 0.9% annual rise in capital city rents is the slowest rate of growth on record, with data going back to December 1995.

The sluggish pace of rental appreciation continues to be attributed to the ongoing boom in dwelling construction across Australia’s capital cities accompanied by record high participation in the housing market from investors.

A high proportion of the inner city unit development in particular is being targeted by domestic investors and foreign purchasers.

Looking across the individual capital cities, over the past year, Sydney and Hobart have recorded the greatest increases in weekly rents.

Over the past month, weekly rents have moved lower across every capital city and over the past three months rents are lower in all cities except for Melbourne.

Rental Index results as at July 31, 2015 

change in rents

Combined capital city house rents were recorded at $490 per week in July 2015 and unit rents were $462 per week.

The gap in the rental cost remains significantly lower than the actual purchase cost of a house relative to a unit.

Over the past month, house rents have fallen by -0.3% while unit rental rates were steady.

Over the three months to July 2015, rental rates for houses are down 0.5% whilst for units they have barely risen (0.2%).

changes!

The data points to the fact that more recently the rate of rental growth has started to slow even further

Over the past year house rents have increased by 0.7% while units have recorded a slightly greater 1.6% annual rise.

The ongoing slowdown in rental growth is likely due to heightened new housing supply and historic high levels of housing investment.

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Annual rental growth is currently at its slowest pace on record and is also well below its 10 year average levels.

The 10 year annual rate of rental growth is currently higher than growth over the past year across each capital city. 

Sluggish rental growth is most likely due to surging investment demand, record high levels of new housing construction and a slowing rate of population growth nationally.

These factors are creating more rental accommodation and suppressing rental increases.

With rental rates already increasing at their slowest annual rate on record, we envisage that the growth in rental rates could slow even further over the coming months.

The pipeline of residential construction activity as well as investment demand is at a record high which means people choosing to rent will continue to have more accommodation choices and owners will have less scope to increase rent.

changes 2!

With capital city rents increasing at their slowest pace on record and home values continuing to rise, gross rental yields are trending lower.

At a combined capital city level, gross rental yields were recorded at 3.4% for houses in July 2015 and at 4.6% for units.

Combined capital city house rents are currently at a record low level.

A year ago, gross rental yields were recorded at 3.8% for houses and 4.6% for units across the combined capitals.

With capital growth anticipated to continue to outpace rental growth we expect that rental returns could push even lower over the coming months.

From an investment perspective it means that capital growth is going to be much more important for a return on investment.

Annual change in rental rates vs. gross rental yields

annual rents

gross annual

Rental yields are lowest for houses in Melbourne (3.0%) and highest in Darwin (5.7%). In fact, Melbourne house yields are now at a record low.

Unit yields are lowest in Melbourne at 4.1% and highest in Brisbane and Darwin, both at 5.5%.

Across most cities house rental yields are lower now than they were at the same time last year, the exception is in Hobart and Canberra where gross yields have remained steady.

Gross rental yields for houses across Melbourne and Sydney are now at their lowest level on record.

The unit market shows different trends to the detached housing market.

Yields are higher than a year ago in Brisbane and Hobart, while gross yields in Canberra are unchanged.

The cheaper up front cost of units and their relatively weaker capital growth performance is resulting in a lower decline in yields.

key rental



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About

Tim heads up the Core Logic RP Data research and analytics team, analysing real estate markets, demographics and economic trends across Australia. Visit www.corelogic.com.au


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