Rental Growth The Lowest On Record

If you’re a property investor the news will be no surprise to you.

There has been virtually no rental growth recorded over the past 12 months, with rental growth now at its lowest level on record according to the January 2016 CoreLogic RP Data Rental Review. 

Currently the median rent rate is recorded at $443 across the combined capital cities.

Research analyst Cameron Kusher said, Different Size Houses

“CoreLogic has tracked annual rental changes since 1996 and over that time, rental growth conditions have never been weaker. At the same time last year rental rates had increased by 1.7% highlighting that the slowdown in rental conditions has been sharp over the year.”

“A combination of factors is affecting the national rental market. Among these is a higher level of rental stock resulting in greater options for renters, a slowdown in population growth, higher than normal investment activity and stagnant wage growth.”

“More rental stock at a time when demand is easing due to slowing population growth, and little wage growth for renters, has resulted in flat rental growth conditions over the past year.”

“For renters there is a lot more accommodation options in the market while simultaneously, landlords are now required to respond to a more competitive environment which, in many cases means keeping rents steady or in some areas reducing rents in order to keep a tenant.”

CoreLogic analysis shows rents across the combined capitals rose by 0.2% in January 2016. The only capital cities to see a rise in rents over the month were Sydney, Melbourne, Adelaide, Hobart and Canberra, elsewhere rents dropped.

Rental Index results as at January 31, 2016


Across the individual capital cities, over the past year:

  • Rents increased in Sydney (+1.4%), Melbourne (+2.1%), Hobart (+0.1%) and Canberra (+1.8%).
  • Rental rates have fallen over the past year in Brisbane (-0.7%), Adelaide (-0.4%), Perth (-8.6%) and Darwin (-13.4%).
  • Across every capital city except Canberra the rate of annual rental growth or decline is currently lower than it was a year ago indicating that the weaker rental market conditions are prevalent across most capital cities.

Rental Market Update:

  • Weekly rents across the combined capital city measure increased 0.2% over the month of January however they were unchanged over the past 12 months.
  • Currently, combined capital city rental rates are $487/week for houses and $465/week for units.

Mr Kusher said,

“It is possible that over the coming months, rental rates could begin to fall on an annual basis due to additional new rental supply entering the market.”


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Kate Forbes


Kate Forbes is a National Director Property Strategy at Metropole. She has 15 years of investment experience in financial markets in two continents, is qualified in multiple disciplines and is also a chartered financial analyst (CFA).
Visit Metropole Melbourne

'Rental Growth The Lowest On Record' have 2 comments


    February 12, 2016 Geoff Klem

    Interestingly Gold Coast rentals have been increasing. At an open home recently for one of my units over 40 inspections occurred
    with 9 applications…and we had increased the rent from the last tenant. I am hearing of agents receiving offers over the asking rent with multiple applications. Another of my property managers indicated they placed 3 good applicants into some of their holiday accommodation due to the shortage of available rental property.


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