CoreLogic Quarterly Rental Review | March 2018

Rental rates climb over seasonally strong first quarter — but at a slower pace than in 2017. 

Rental Marcket

Global data analytics provider CoreLogic has released its first Quarterly Rental Review for 2018, which tracks the median rental price of houses and units across Australian capital cities and regions.

The quarterly report measures the percentage change in rental prices over the first quarter, which is typically the strongest for rental appreciation and growth, as well as over the past 12 months to March 2018.

The data suggests that in most capital cities the rental market has softened, although values are still rising they are doing so at a slower rate than they have over recent first quarters of the year.

From an investor’s perspective, large new housing supply additions and slowing rental growth means that they will need to find ways to differentiate their properties from others. 

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Whether that is on rental cost or by renovation, we would expect that competition for tenants in most capital cities will increase.

Rental yields are climbing slightly from historic low levels however, they remain lower than they were a year ago.

Investors remain most active in NSW and Vic and have been targeting capital growth rather than rental return.

With values now falling, active investors should be more focused on those regions with stronger prospects for value growth and higher rental returns.

 

 

Change in rents  

 

Yields
Region Median rent Month Quarter 12 months Current 12 months
Sydney $582 0.1% 0.5% 1.7% 3.20% 3.06%
Melbourne $442 0.4% 1.2% 3.5% 2.93% 3.01%
Brisbane $436 0.2% 1.1% 0.6% 4.40% 4.42%
Adelaide $374 0.1% 1.0% 2.2% 4.28% 4.29%
Perth $377 0.6% 1.7% -1.3%  3.92%  4.00%
Hobart $410 1.6% 5.0% 11.7% 5.01% 5.10%
Darwin $474 -0.3% -0.3% -1.6% 5.83%  5.55%
Canberra $528 0.7% 2.3% 4.2% 4.55% 4.50%
Combined capitals $459 0.3% 1.0% 1.9% 3.38% 3.36%
Combined regionals $355 0.4% 1.2% 3.1% 4.91% 5.00%
National $427 0.3% 1.1% 2.2% 3.68% 3.67%

Key findings

  • Nationally, rents climbed by 0.3 per cent in March to be 1.1 per cent higher over the first quarter of 2018 and 2.2 per cent higher over the 12 months to March 2018. In comparison to the first three months of 2017 when rents increased by 1.5 per cent, the growth in rental prices has slowed (-0.4 per cent).
  • Rental growth over the first quarter is higher in the regional markets (+1.2 per cent) than in the capital cities (+1.0 per cent). This trend is also reflected in activity over the past 12 months — rents are up 3.1 per cent in the regions compared to an increase of 1.9 per cent across the capitals.Increase In Rent Demand
  • Over the first quarter, rents climbed in all capital cities except for Darwin (-0.3 per cent). The highest quarterly rental increases were in Hobart (+5.0 per cent), which also reported its strongest first quarter growth on record, and Canberra (+2.3 per cent).
  • Over the past 12 months, Hobart reported the highest growth in rental rates (+11.7 per cent). Rents climbed higher in all capital cities except Perth (-1.3 per cent) and Darwin (-1.6 per cent).
  • The national median rent is $427 ($426 for houses and $430 for units). Across the capital cities, the median rental is $459 per week. The median house rental in the capital cities is $460 compared to $453 for units. Across the regional markets, both houses and units averaged $355 per week.
  • At $374, Adelaide has the cheapest weekly rent out of all the capital cities. The highest median weekly rent is in Sydney, where the cost is $582.
  • Rental yields have increased nationally by 0.1 per cent over the past 12 months to 3.68 per cent. The highest rental yields are in Darwin (5.83 per cent) and Hobart (5.01 per cent). Melbourne (2.93 per cent) has the lowest rental yields, followed by Sydney (3.20 per cent).

Key regional variations

New South Wales

  • Renters in Sydney pay the most out of all the capital cities ($582 a week). Rents are up 0.5 per cent over the first three months of 2018 — the weakest first quarter for rental growth in Sydney since 2009.New South Wales
  • Sydney’s Northern Beaches is the most expensive region to rent in New South Wales, with a median rent of $877 per week (up 1.9 per cent over the March quarter), followed by the Eastern Suburbs at $848 per week (up 1.8 per cent over the March quarter).
  • Rents are most affordable in Murray ($282) and Far West and Orana ($283). Far West and Orana also had the highest quarterly increase in rent (+6.7 per cent) and the highest current rental yield of 8.3 per cent (up 0.7 per cent over the past 12 months).
  • Rental falls for the quarter were evident in Baulkham Hills and Hawkesbury (-0.7 per cent), Sydney’s Inner West (-0.2 per cent) and Inner South West (-0.3 per cent). Parramatta, South West Sydney and Sutherland all recorded a quarterly decline of 0.4 per cent.

Victoria

  • VictoriaAt $550 per week, rentals in Inner South Melbourne are the most expensive in Victoria, followed by Inner Melbourne at $545 per week.
  • In regional Victoria, rental rates are highest in the Mornington Peninsula ($418) and the lowest in the North West ($257). Along with Geelong, the Mornington Peninsula also had the highest quarterly growth in rental rates at 2.1 per cent.
  • LaTrobe Gippsland (-2.2 per cent) and Shepparton (-0.4 per cent) were the only regions in Victoria to suffer a fall in median rent over the quarter.
  • The highest current yields are in the North West at 6.6 per cent, followed by Shepparton at 5.4 per cent.

Queensland

  • Queensland AustraliaWith a median rental rate of $499 per week, prices were higher in the Gold Coast than they were anywhere else in Queensland — including inner Brisbane ($498). The Sunshine Coast was the third most expensive place to rent across the state, with a median rental of $489 per week.
  • Rental prices climbed over the first quarter in all regions except for the Queensland Outback (-5.6 per cent) and Darling Downs-Maranoa (-1.4 per cent).
  • The highest yield was to be found in the Queensland Outback, with a 9.4 per cent return.

Western Australia

  • At $476 per week, rents are highest in Inner Perth, which also recorded the highest quarterly increase in rental rates (+2.7 per cent). The North Outback of Western Australia has the second highest rents at $438 per week. It was one of only two regions to record a fall in rental rates over the quarter (-0.4 per cent), along with the South Outback (-1.8 per cent).
  • Rental yields are down in most regions compared to 12 months ago apart from Mandurah, which has remained the same. The highest rental yields can be found in the North Outback (8.9 per cent), South Outback (6.3 per cent) and the Wheat Belt (6 per cent).

South Australia

  • australia map sydney nswAdelaide has the most affordable weekly rent out of the capital cities, with a median price of $374. Adelaide Central and Hills is the most expensive region at $432 per week.
  • The Outback in South Australia is the most affordable region to rent in, with a median rate of $243 per week.
  • Rental growth has been the highest in Adelaide Central and Hills (+1.7 per cent) and the Outback region (+ 1.6 per cent) over the first quarter. The Outback has recorded the highest annual change in rental rates, up 13.9 per cent. The Outback also has the highest current rental yield at 7.1 per cent.

Tasmania

  • Hobart is the most expensive place to rent in Tasmania, with a median rental price of $410. Rental yields in the state capital have fallen slightly over the past 12 months to 5 per cent (-0.1 per cent).
  • TasmaniaThe highest quarterly change in rental prices was in South East Tasmania, where rents are up 14.5 per cent. South East Tasmania has also experienced a 46.6 per cent growth in rental prices over the year.
  • South East Tasmania was the only region to report an increase in rental yields (up 1.2 per cent) and, at 6.4 per cent, currently has the highest rental yields in the state. The decline in rental yields in most regions reflects how values have risen at a faster pace than rents in most regions.

Northern Territory

  • Darwin was the only capital city with a fall in rental rates over the first quarter (down 0.3 per cent).
  • Across the Northern Territory, median rents are similar in Darwin ($474) and the Outback ($479). Both regions recorded an increase in rental yields compared to 12 months ago, with Darwin up 0.2 per cent to 5.8 per cent, and the Outback also up 0.2 per cent to 7.1 per cent.
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About

Cameron Kusher is Corelogic RP Data’s senior research analyst. Cameron has a thorough understanding of the fundamentals such as demographics, trends & economics. Visit www.corelogic.com.au


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