More information from the Census for you in a two minute read
Following on from my census commentary last week, in this post we continue with bedroom trends.
Here, we are looking at what has been happening in our townhouse type stock and high-rise apartments.
Australia, townhouse, terrace homes and semi-detached
| Bedrooms | No. | Five year change | 2011 | 2016 | |
| None or one | 78k | 22,000 | 39% | 8% | 8% |
| Two | 387k | 101,000 | 35% | 38% | 38% |
| Three | 459k | 119,000 | 35% | 46% | 45% |
| Four | 87k | 31,000 | 56% | 7% | 8% |
| Five or more | 13k | 3,000 | 35% | 1% | 1% |
| Total* | 1.06m | 289,000 | 38% | 100% | 100% |
*Includes not stated. Compares 2011 to 2016, as results for 2006 are not available.
Australia, high-rise apartments
| Bedrooms | No. | Five year change | 2011 | 2016 | |
| None or one | 115k | 40,000 | 54% | 27% | 29% |
| Two | 220k | 69,000 | 46% | 55% | 55% |
| Three | 61k | 14,000 | 29% | 17% | 15% |
| Four | 3k | 850 | 42% | 1% | 1% |
| Five or more | 750 | 150 | 30% | 0% | 0% |
| Total* | 410k | 128,000 | 46% | 100% | 100% |
*Includes not stated. Compares 2011 to 2016, as results for 2006 are not available.
Some observations
- Australia is facing numerous changes - one of which is our housing stock.
Over the past five years, as opposed to the ten year trend and despite a fall in low-rise units, overall more attached dwellings have been built than detached ones.
There has also been a big increase in the number of smaller high-rise apartments since 2011.
- The trend towards attached dwellings is most likely to accelerate in coming decades….but with several kinks.
Forcing much of this change will be our aging population.
We have a growing downsizer market, many of whom have strong equity in their homes (mostly detached), but not enough savings or other investments to live (not just survive) into retirement. - Some may choose to ‘re-tread’ and not retire, to quote Neil Young, and continue working well into old age in order to make ends meet.
Others may reverse mortgage, whilst many will start to look to sell their existing detached home and downsize in the local area, using the balance to improve their financial situation. - This makes sense, but there are several roadblocks that stand in the way.
These include a lack of affordable choice - as this downsize doesn’t happen, for most, unless there is a 20%+ jingle in their pocket – and also, often, a lack of knowledge about how best to go about it.
Many, and understandably so, cannot afford to make a financial mistake.
And what are the kinks?
- A reversal in the decline of low-rise apartments, with strong growth in low-rise infill product across our middle-ring and especially outer city suburbs
- The outer suburbs will also see a lot more townhouse-type development in coming years
- Limited growth of high-rise apartments due to oversupply, limited local market demand and rising (direct and indirect) costs
- More three and even four bedroom attached product, as opposed to one and two bedroom dwellings, in the future
- Much of our detached housing morphing into semi and fully attached homes - think terraces, zero-lot lines and granny/fonzi flats
- Older detached housing being recycled into something more – multi-tenanted and/or multi-generational owner occupied homes.
You may also be interested in reading:
CENSUS: DWELLING TRENDS
