Michael Yardney's blogs, articles and market commentary

Michael Yardney

About Michael Yardney

Michael is a director of Metropole Property Strategists who create wealth for their clients through independent, unbiased property advice and advocacy. He has been voted Australia's leading property investment adviser and his opinions are regularly featured on radio as well as in major newspapers and magazines throughout Australia. Visit Metropole.com.au

Economist predicts house prices will fall this year

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Late last year economist Steven Keen predicted house prices will drop 5 to 10 percent this year.

More recently he suggested that house prices will be 10% lower by the end of the year.

Is he right?

Well…2012 will be a tough year for property, and I’ve given my thoughts on this in some of my previous blogs, but I found an interesting post in Chris Joye’s great blog.

This is a must read before you pay too much attention to Prof. Keen

Chris Joye said: -

[Read more...]

The biggest property myth of 2011

The biggest property myth of 2011

Probably the biggest property myth of 2011 was the claim that Australia was in a “property bubble” that was about to burst.

It was only a few years ago when “doomsday economist” Steve Keen predicted Australian house prices would plummet. Awkwardly for him, average house prices went up 40% rather than down.

Interestingly he now predicts that house prices will fall around 5% this year, and I must admit that this is likely to be the case in some areas.

[Read more...]

Westpac Economic Update video 3rd February 2012

Westpac believes that the Reserve Bank will lower interest rates by 0.25% next week.

In this video market update Westpac Senior Economist Matthew Hassan comments on the week’s economic news, with a look at the housing market, a roundup on developments in Europe and analysis on why we should expect the RBA to drop interest rates again next week.

He also says what to watch out for in your housing markets

[Read more...]

Which is smarter – to save with super or pay off the mortgage?

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For many years now it has been ingrained into the Australian psyche that the best way to get ahead and ensure you have enough money in retirement, is to pay off the mortgage on your home as soon as possible. The only other option is superannuation – if you believe everything you’re told and the way most of our parents did things throughout their life.

Now the government has launched a website – www.moneysmart.gov.au  – to help people determine whether saving in a super fund or paying off your home is the most productive financial tool at your disposal. [Read more...]

Falling property values give some home owners negative equity

Property Update

The recent “softening” of our property markets have placed a small number of home owners and property investors in the uncomfortable position of negative equity.

Over the five years to September 2011, capital city home values have increased by around 28 percent, according to RP Data’s  National Equity Report.  [Read more...]

Investors should prepare for years of uncertainty

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Uncertainty and volatility are likely to feature in global financial markets for years to come, Treasury secretary Martin Parkinson has warned.

But it’s the long-term trends, such as the rise of China, our ageing population and climate change, that Australia must manage carefully if it is going to be sustainable, he says in an artcitle reported on news.com.au. [Read more...]

Australia’s population to hit 23 million in July

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Last year the world welcome its seven billionth citizen and this year, probably sometime in July, Australia’s should hit the 23 million mark sometime in July.

Even though Australia’s growth has fallen from a high of 2.2 per cent in 2009 to around 1.4 per cent, it’s still growing faster than the rest of the world at 1.1 per cent according to social demographer Mark McCrindle.

It means Australia should hit the 23 million milestone in mid-2012.

The world’s population hit seven billion on October 2011, just over 12 years since it reached six billion. Based on the current trends, the world will pass eight billion in 2025, just 13 years from now.

The ten most expensive countries in the world to build

Australian Boy

Both Sydney and Melbourne now have the dubious honour as two of the top 10 most expensive cities in which to live but interestingly building costs are much higher in other parts of the world.

Switzerland remains the most expensive place in the world to build new properties, according to the latest annual International Construction Cost Comparison Report released by built asset consultancy EC Harris.

In fact construction costs in Switzerland are more than 25% higher than anywhere else in the world. [Read more...]

Sydneys housing shortfall to double by 2014

There are lots of different estimates of the supply and demand ratios of our housing markets. Many industry bodies suggest we have a significant housing shortfall.

I’m not so sure about that. In fact we have an oversupply in some areas and there are too many apartments coming onto the market in the CBD’s of Melbourne and Brisbane. [Read more...]

Gen Y’s willing to sacrifice for the sake of the great Australian dream

In the past Generation Y have been branded with a less than flattering reputation as selfish, spendthrifts. Perceived as wanting it all and wanting it yesterday, older generations tended to believe that this young demographic group were incapable of financial sensibilities and as such, would struggle to get a foot on the increasingly pricey property ladder.

However the days of carefree spending and sponging off their parents could be a thing of the past for many Gen Y’s according to the results of a recent housing affordability study. [Read more...]