Australia’s economy less vulnerable than most

While the economies of many countires had a rough few years, Australia’s economy is the envy of most developed nations and it likely to remain so.

While the potential worsening crisis in Europe is the biggest challenge facing Australia, we’re not as vulnerable as many other countries, according to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)

In its latest survey of Australia, the OECD said our economy had weathered the global economic crisis well, reflecting sound macroeconomic policies and strong demand from China.

“The outlook is positive, even though there are mainly negative risks stemming from the external environment, to which Australia is however less vulnerable than many other OECD countries,” the Paris-based institution said.

The OECD forecasts the economy to grow at three per cent in 2013 after a robust 3.7 per cent expansion in 2012, and a moderate growth of 2.3 per cent in 2011.

Treasurer Wayne Swan was reported in news.com.au as saying that the OECD report was another reminder Australians had a lot to be proud of.
“Once again our economy stands tall amongst its peers, with 21 consecutive years of growth, robust economic fundamentals and a positive outlook in the face of acute global challenges,” Mr Swan said.

The OECD said although Australia would be less vulnerable to a potential worsening in Europe’s sovereign debt crisis, because of its low exposure to Europe, it did face risks from a substantial weakening of growth in China and other Asian countries.

“A sharper than expected slowdown in this part of the world would reduce exports, the terms of trade and, most likely, the real exchange rate,” it said.

“Increased supply of resource production might also place downward pressure on commodity prices.”

Even so, the OECD expects the Government’s tightening of fiscal policy, as it looks to return to a budget surplus in 2012/13, should dampen demand.

It expects activity to remain tepid in many sectors adjusting to a strong Australian dollar, and the boost in demand provided by the resources investment boom was expected to fade in 2014 because of the fall in commodity prices.

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Michael is a director of Metropole Property Strategists who create wealth for their clients through independent, unbiased property advice and advocacy. He's been once agin been voted Australia's leading property investment adviser and his opinions are regularly featured in the media. Visit Metropole.com.au


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